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La Liga
Referee: Juan Luis Pulido Santana
Ath Madrid
T S U S U
3–1
Full-time
Granada
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,42 xG 0,94
45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.5 3
2 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +2 -0.0 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.7 3
4 Betis 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.1 3
5 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
6 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
7 Sociedad 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
8 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
9 Las Palmas 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.7 1
10 Mallorca 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.7 1
11 Getafe 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.9 1
12 Barcelona 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.9 1
13 Villarreal 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.1 0
14 Sevilla 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
15 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
16 Ath Bilbao 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.5 0
17 Celta 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.0 0
18 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Apr -22 Ath Madrid – Granada 0–0 22. Dec -21 Granada – Ath Madrid 2–1 13. Feb -21 Granada – Ath Madrid 1–2 27. Sep -20 Ath Madrid – Granada 6–1 8. Feb -20 Ath Madrid – Granada 1–0

Match report

Ath Madrid Granada
Pablo Barrios 🔁
↦ Koke
7′
10′
🟨 Gerard Gumbau
Mario Hermoso 🟨
39′
Álvaro Morata 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Álvaro Morata ⚽
49′
Memphis Depay 🔁
↦ Álvaro Morata
58′
58′
🔁 Gonzalo Villar
↦ Óscar Melendo
Çağlar Söyüncü 🔁
↦ Thomas Lemar
59′
62′
⚽ Samuel Omorodion 1–1
Gonzalo Villar
2–1 Memphis Depay ⚽
Yannick Carrasco
67′
74′
🔁 Antonio Puertas
↦ José Callejón
74′
🔁 Ricard Sánchez
↦ Gerard Gumbau
Saúl Ñíguez 🔁
↦ Antoine Griezmann
77′
Ángel Correa 🔁
↦ Rodrigo de Paul
77′
81′
🔁 Bryan Zaragoza
↦ Samuel Omorodion
82′
🔁 Njegoš Petrović
↦ Carlos Neva
César Azpilicueta 🟨
94′
3–1 Marcos Llorente ⚽
98′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

3-5-2
13 Jan Oblak G
3 César Azpilicueta D
15 Stefan Savić D
22 Mario Hermoso D
14 Marcos Llorente M
6 Koke M
5 Rodrigo de Paul M
11 Thomas Lemar M
21 Yannick Carrasco M
7 Antoine Griezmann F
19 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (12)
24 Pablo Barrios
9 Memphis Depay
4 Çağlar Söyüncü
8 Saúl Ñíguez
10 Ángel Correa
31 Antonio Gomis
1 Ivo Grbić
27 Ilias Kostis
17 Javi Galán
25 Rodrigo Riquelme
12 Samuel Lino
18 João Félix

Coach: D. Simeone

Granada

5-3-2
13 André Ferreira G
9 José Callejón D
5 Jesús Vallejo D
4 Miguel Rubio D
14 Ignasi Miquel D
15 Carlos Neva D
20 Sergio Ruiz Alonso M
23 Gerard Gumbau M
21 Óscar Melendo M
29 Samuel Omorodion F
11 Myrto Uzuni F
Bench (12)
24 Gonzalo Villar
12 Ricard Sánchez
10 Antonio Puertas
26 Bryan Zaragoza
18 Njegoš Petrović
31 Adri López
1 Raúl Fernández
3 Wilson Manafá
16 Víctor Díaz
32 Adria Miquel Bosch Sanchis
19 Famara Diédhiou
22 Alberto Perea

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,30
🔒
U
5,49
🔒
B
10,27
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,68
🔒
U2,5
2,20
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Juan Luis Pulido Santana · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.