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Ligue 2
Referee: A Taleb
Laval
U T S U S
1–1
Full-time
Paris FC
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Laval Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 48%
50%
45%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
35%
45%
Both score Ø 35%
35%
35%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Laval 4. · Paris FC 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 20 12 5 3 +22 41
2 Angers 20 12 4 4 +15 40
3 Grenoble 20 9 8 3 +8 35
4 Laval 20 10 5 5 +4 35
5 Pau FC 20 8 7 5 +2 31
6 Guingamp 20 8 6 6 +8 30
7 Rodez 20 8 6 6 +3 30
8 Paris FC 20 9 3 8 +2 30
9 Ajaccio 20 8 6 6 +0 30
10 Caen 20 8 5 7 +3 29
11 St Etienne 20 8 5 7 +0 29
12 Amiens 20 7 7 6 -3 28
13 Bastia 20 6 6 8 +0 24
14 Troyes 20 5 8 7 -1 23
15 Bordeaux 20 6 5 9 -7 23
16 Concarneau 20 6 4 10 -9 22
17 Annecy 20 4 7 9 -7 19
18 Quevilly Rouen 20 3 8 9 -5 17
19 Dunkerque 20 3 5 12 -19 14
20 Valenciennes 20 1 8 11 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Laval Paris FC
1–0 P. Pagis
R. Labeau-Lascary
6′
Half-time 1–0
T. Thomas 🔁
↦ P. Pagis
46′
46′
🔁 J. Lukembila
↦ D. Colau
46′
J. Lukembila 1–1
A. Gory
47′
🟨 Adama Camara
Jimmy Roye 🟥
48′
58′
🔁 L. Doucet
↦ A. Camara
J. Kadile 🔁
↦ R. Labeau-Lascary
65′
J. Adéoti 🔁
↦ Y. Baldé
65′
Mamadou Samassa 🟨
73′
Sam Sanna 🟨
75′
A. Gonçalves 🔁
↦ M. Tchokounté
86′
89′
🟨 Moustapha Mbow
Jordan Adeoti 🟨
90′
M. Baudry 🔁
↦ S. Sanna
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Laval

3-4-3
30 M. Samassa G
12 Y. Baldé D
23 Yohan Tavares D
15 D. Diaw D
7 T. Vargas M
4 J. Roye M
6 S. Sanna M
20 A. Cherni M
11 R. Labeau-Lascary F
18 M. Tchokounté F
29 P. Pagis F
Bench (7)
8 T. Thomas
9 J. Kadile
27 J. Adéoti
39 A. Gonçalves
3 M. Baudry
1 M. Hautbois
28 A. Bobichon

Coach: O. Frapolli

Paris FC

5-4-1
16 O. Nkambadio G
33 D. Colau D
13 K. Dabila D
15 T. Kolodziejczak D
5 M. Mbow D
27 J. Gaudin D
10 I. Kebbal M
17 A. Camara M
14 C. Mandouki M
7 A. Gory M
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga F
Bench (7)
23 J. Lukembila
18 L. Doucet
37 F. Pannafit
42 S. Dembélé
1 R. Riou
8 Y. Demoncy
29 P. Hamel

Coach: S. Gilli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U ✓
3,04
B
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,45
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Taleb · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.