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Ligue 2

Referee: O Thual

Valenciennes

S U U T U

0–1

Full-time

Paris FC

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Paris FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 24%

41%

Points per game

0,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

35%

41%

Both score Ø 32%

35%

29%

Average goals

1,9

2,4

Scored

0,6

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

7 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 5

16 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valenciennes 20. · Paris FC 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	18	10	5	3	+18	35
2	Angers	17	10	4	3	+13	34
3	Laval	17	10	3	4	+6	33
4	Pau FC	17	8	5	4	+3	29
5	Grenoble	17	7	7	3	+4	28
6	Guingamp	17	7	6	4	+9	27
7	Ajaccio	18	7	6	5	+1	27
8	St Etienne	18	7	4	7	-1	25
9	Rodez	17	6	5	6	+1	23
10	Paris FC	17	7	2	8	+0	23
11	Amiens	17	6	5	6	-4	23
12	Caen	17	6	4	7	+1	22
13	Bastia	17	5	5	7	-1	20
14	Bordeaux	18	5	5	8	-7	20
15	Troyes	17	4	7	6	+0	19
16	Annecy	17	4	7	6	-4	19
17	Concarneau	17	5	4	8	-6	19
18	Quevilly Rouen	17	3	6	8	-4	15
19	Dunkerque	17	3	4	10	-16	13
20	Valenciennes	17	1	8	8	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	9	7	2	0	+14	23
2	Ajaccio	9	5	4	0	+8	19
3	Pau FC	9	5	3	1	+6	18
4	Auxerre	9	5	2	2	+10	17
5	Rodez	8	5	2	1	+8	17
6	Amiens	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Laval	8	5	1	2	+1	16
8	Grenoble	8	4	3	1	+3	15
9	Bastia	8	4	2	2	+1	14
10	Paris FC	9	4	1	4	+3	13
11	Guingamp	8	3	3	2	+6	12
12	Bordeaux	9	3	3	3	+1	12
13	Caen	8	3	2	3	+3	11
14	Troyes	8	3	2	3	+2	11
15	St Etienne	9	3	2	4	+0	11
16	Annecy	9	2	4	3	-1	10
17	Quevilly Rouen	9	2	3	4	-1	9
18	Concarneau	8	2	2	4	-3	8
19	Valenciennes	8	0	4	4	-6	4
20	Dunkerque	9	0	2	7	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	9	5	3	1	+8	18
2	Laval	9	5	2	2	+5	17
3	Guingamp	9	4	3	2	+3	15
4	St Etienne	9	4	2	3	-1	14
5	Grenoble	9	3	4	2	+1	13
6	Angers	8	3	2	3	-1	11
7	Caen	9	3	2	4	-2	11
8	Pau FC	8	3	2	3	-3	11
9	Dunkerque	8	3	2	3	-3	11
10	Concarneau	9	3	2	4	-3	11
11	Paris FC	8	3	1	4	-3	10
12	Annecy	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Troyes	9	1	5	3	-2	8
14	Ajaccio	9	2	2	5	-7	8
15	Bordeaux	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Amiens	7	2	1	4	-6	7
17	Valenciennes	9	1	4	4	-7	7
18	Bastia	9	1	3	5	-2	6
19	Quevilly Rouen	8	1	3	4	-3	6
20	Rodez	9	1	3	5	-7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.