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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Yverdon
U T T S U
2–1
Full-time
Luzern
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yverdon Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 34%
28%
39%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 70%
72%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Yverdon 9. · Luzern 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 19 12 5 2 +24 +1.6 41
2 St. Gallen 19 11 3 5 +13 +9.9 36
3 Zurich 19 8 8 3 +14 +1.0 32
4 Servette 18 8 7 3 +8 +10.2 31
5 Lugano 19 8 2 9 +1 +4.0 26
6 Luzern 18 7 4 7 -5 +0.0 25
7 Winterthur 18 6 4 8 -7 -2.1 22
8 Grasshoppers 19 6 3 10 +0 -6.2 21
9 Yverdon 18 5 6 7 -14 -7.3 21
10 Lausanne 19 5 5 9 -6 +1.4 20
11 Basel 19 5 4 10 -10 -6.8 19
12 Lausanne Ouchy 19 3 5 11 -18 -5.8 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Oct -23 Luzern – Yverdon 2–1

Match report

Yverdon Luzern
1–0 A. Mahious
30′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Ademi
↦ L. Villiger
Mohamed Tijani 🟨
54′
54′
ℹ️ Severin Ottiger
VAR: Penalty confirmed
55′
M. Meyer 1–1
Kevin Carlos 🔁
↦ A. Mahious
64′
V. Vidaković 🔁
↦ B. Céspedes
64′
M. Olesen 🔁
↦ Liziero
64′
68′
🔁 D. Ulrich
↦ S. Ottiger
68′
🔁 K. Spadanuda
↦ T. Okou
69′
🟨 Nicky Medja Beloko
D. Corness 🔁
↦ H. Loucif
75′
81′
🔁 N. Haas
↦ N. Beloko
81′
🔁 T. Klidje
↦ M. Meyer
C. Lungoyi 🔁
↦ M. Aké
82′
86′
🟨 Dario Ulrich
2–1 V. Tasar
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Yverdon

4-3-3
40 P. Bernardoni G
32 A. Sauthier D
4 D. Del Fabro D
2 M. Tijani D
6 W. Le Pogam D
12 H. Loucif M
5 B. Céspedes M
28 Liziero M
27 V. Tasar F
81 A. Mahious F
9 M. Aké F
Bench (9)
11 Kevin Carlos
44 V. Vidaković
13 M. Olesen
10 D. Corness
88 C. Lungoyi
23 N. Gunnarsson
25 Christian Marques
22 K. Martin
70 E. Maurin

Coach: A. Mangiarratti

Luzern

4-3-1-2
1 P. Loretz G
2 S. Ottiger D
4 L. Jaquez D
5 D. Simani D
13 M. Frýdek D
20 P. Dorn M
6 A. Jashari M
18 N. Beloko M
7 M. Meyer M
27 L. Villiger F
11 T. Okou F
Bench (9)
99 K. Ademi
22 D. Ulrich
10 K. Spadanuda
32 N. Haas
17 T. Klidje
16 J. Kadák
90 V. Vasić
29 L. Winkler
3 J. Löfgren

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.