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Ligue 2
Referee: O Thual
Guingamp
S U U S T
1–2
Full-time
Angers
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 44%
36%
52%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
42%
39%
Both score Ø 36%
33%
39%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 9. · Angers 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 33 17 10 6 +25 61
2 Angers 33 17 7 9 +13 58
3 St Etienne 33 17 6 10 +15 57
4 Paris FC 33 14 10 9 +7 52
5 Rodez 33 13 11 9 +9 50
6 Pau FC 33 13 11 9 +7 50
7 Laval 33 13 10 10 -1 49
8 Caen 33 14 6 13 +2 48
9 Guingamp 33 12 11 10 +6 47
10 Grenoble 33 11 12 10 +3 45
11 Ajaccio 33 12 9 12 -3 45
12 Amiens 33 10 14 9 -3 44
13 Bastia 33 12 8 13 -5 44
14 Bordeaux 33 11 9 13 -6 42
15 Dunkerque 33 11 8 14 -13 41
16 Annecy 33 10 9 14 -2 39
17 Troyes 33 8 11 14 -8 35
18 Concarneau 33 9 8 16 -13 35
19 Quevilly Rouen 33 6 15 12 -3 33
20 Valenciennes 33 2 11 20 -30 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Angers
-5′
🟨 Abdoulaye Bamba
37′
L. Rao-Lisoa 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 B. Guillaume
46′
65′
🔁 F. El Melali
↦ J. Kalumba
65′
🔁 P. Capelle
↦ Z. Ould Khaled
A. El Ouazzani 🔁
↦ V. Lobry
70′
H. Picard 🔁
↦ A. Sagna
70′
70′
🔁 A. Hunou
↦ E. Lepaul
J. Siwe 🔁
↦ B. Guillaume
78′
83′
L. Diony 1–2
F. El Melali
L. Phiri 🔁
↦ K. Sidibé
84′
U. Bonnet 🔁
↦ M. Merghem
84′
87′
🔁 I. Niané
↦ L. Diony
Jacques Siwe 🟨
89′
Dylan Louiserre 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-2-3-1
16 E. Basilio G
27 M. Sivis D
24 P. Lemonnier D
2 B. Roux D
6 L. Vallier D
4 D. Louiserre M
22 V. Lobry M
10 M. Merghem M
8 K. Sidibé M
11 A. Sagna M
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
9 A. El Ouazzani
20 H. Picard
17 J. Siwe
18 L. Phiri
29 U. Bonnet
30 B. Niasse
31 L. Maronnier

Coach: S. Dumont

Angers

4-2-3-1
30 Y. Fofana G
2 Y. Valery D
22 C. Hountondji D
21 J. Lefort D
26 F. Hanin D
12 Z. Ould Khaled M
10 H. Abdelli M
27 L. Rao-Lisoa M
19 E. Lepaul M
17 J. Kalumba M
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
28 F. El Melali
15 P. Capelle
23 A. Hunou
7 I. Niané
14 Y. Belkhdim
16 M. Zinga
25 A. Bamba

Coach: A. Dujeux

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U
3,02
B ✓
3,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,45
U2,5
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.