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Ligue 2

Referee: M Lesage

Guingamp

S S U U S

0–1

Full-time

Bastia

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 36%

38%

34%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 38%

34%

41%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

18 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 8. · Bastia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	33	17	10	6	+25	61
2	Angers	32	16	7	9	+12	55
3	St Etienne	32	16	6	10	+14	54
4	Rodez	33	13	11	9	+9	50
5	Paris FC	32	13	10	9	+6	49
6	Laval	32	13	10	9	+2	49
7	Caen	32	14	6	12	+3	48
8	Guingamp	32	12	11	9	+7	47
9	Pau FC	32	12	11	9	+4	47
10	Amiens	32	10	14	8	-2	44
11	Grenoble	32	10	12	10	+2	42
12	Ajaccio	32	11	9	12	-4	42
13	Bordeaux	32	11	9	12	-5	42
14	Bastia	32	11	8	13	-6	41
15	Annecy	32	10	9	13	-1	39
16	Dunkerque	32	10	8	14	-14	38
17	Troyes	32	8	11	13	-7	35
18	Concarneau	32	9	7	16	-13	34
19	Quevilly Rouen	32	6	14	12	-3	32
20	Valenciennes	32	2	11	19	-29	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	16	11	3	2	+14	36
2	Auxerre	16	9	5	2	+16	32
3	Ajaccio	16	9	5	2	+12	32
4	Rodez	16	8	6	2	+12	30
5	St Etienne	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	Caen	16	8	3	5	+8	27
7	Bordeaux	16	7	5	4	+5	26
8	Paris FC	16	7	4	5	+6	25
9	Grenoble	16	6	7	3	+5	25
10	Bastia	16	7	4	5	-2	25
11	Pau FC	16	6	6	4	+4	24
12	Troyes	16	7	2	7	+3	23
13	Amiens	16	5	8	3	+2	23
14	Guingamp	15	5	6	4	+6	21
15	Laval	17	5	5	7	-8	20
16	Annecy	16	4	6	6	-4	18
17	Concarneau	16	4	4	8	-9	16
18	Quevilly Rouen	16	3	6	7	-3	15
19	Dunkerque	17	4	3	10	-13	15
20	Valenciennes	16	1	6	9	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	15	8	5	2	+10	29
2	Auxerre	17	8	5	4	+9	29
3	St Etienne	16	8	3	5	+6	27
4	Guingamp	17	7	5	5	+1	26
5	Paris FC	16	6	6	4	+0	24
6	Pau FC	16	6	5	5	+0	23
7	Dunkerque	15	6	5	4	-1	23
8	Annecy	16	6	3	7	+3	21
9	Amiens	16	5	6	5	-4	21
10	Caen	16	6	3	7	-5	21
11	Rodez	17	5	5	7	-3	20
12	Angers	16	5	4	7	-2	19
13	Concarneau	16	5	3	8	-4	18
14	Quevilly Rouen	16	3	8	5	+0	17
15	Grenoble	16	4	5	7	-3	17
16	Bastia	16	4	4	8	-4	16
17	Bordeaux	16	4	4	8	-10	16
18	Troyes	16	1	9	6	-10	12
19	Ajaccio	16	2	4	10	-16	10
20	Valenciennes	16	1	5	10	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.