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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
Angers
S U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Guingamp
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 50%
61%
39%
Points per game
2,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 36%
33%
39%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 1. · Guingamp 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Angers 18 11 4 3 +16 37
2 Auxerre 18 10 5 3 +18 35
3 Laval 18 10 4 4 +6 34
4 Grenoble 18 8 7 3 +5 31
5 Pau FC 18 8 6 4 +3 30
6 Guingamp 18 7 6 5 +8 27
7 Ajaccio 18 7 6 5 +1 27
8 Paris FC 18 8 2 8 +1 26
9 Caen 18 7 4 7 +2 25
10 St Etienne 18 7 4 7 -1 25
11 Rodez 18 6 6 6 +1 24
12 Amiens 18 6 6 6 -4 24
13 Concarneau 18 6 4 8 -5 22
14 Bastia 18 5 6 7 -1 21
15 Bordeaux 18 5 5 8 -7 20
16 Troyes 18 4 7 7 -3 19
17 Annecy 18 4 7 7 -5 19
18 Quevilly Rouen 18 3 7 8 -4 16
19 Dunkerque 18 3 4 11 -17 13
20 Valenciennes 18 1 8 9 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Guingamp
1–0 L. Diony
Z. Ferhat
24′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Kalidou Sidibé
53′
🟨 Dylan Louiserre
61′
🔁 H. Picard
↦ K. Sidibé
J. Bahoya 🔁
↦ F. El Melali
66′
L. Rao-Lisoa 🔁
↦ Z. Ferhat
66′
74′
🔁 G. Courtet
↦ B. Guillaume
74′
🔁 B. Roux
↦ D. Louiserre
74′
🔁 J. Siwe
↦ A. Sagna
Loïs Diony 🟨
79′
Z. Ould Khaled 🔁
↦ J. Lopy
80′
F. Hanin 🔁
↦ J. Lefort
80′
I. Niané 🔁
↦ L. Diony
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Angers

4-4-1-1
30 Y. Fofana G
2 Y. Valery D
25 A. Bamba D
22 C. Hountondji D
21 J. Lefort D
20 Z. Ferhat M
8 J. Lopy M
15 P. Capelle M
28 F. El Melali M
10 H. Abdelli F
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
24 J. Bahoya
27 L. Rao-Lisoa
12 Z. Ould Khaled
26 F. Hanin
7 I. Niané
16 M. Zinga
23 A. Hunou

Coach: A. Dujeux

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
27 M. Sivis D
7 D. Gomis D
26 M. Riou D
25 A. Ben Mohamed D
10 M. Merghem M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibé M
11 A. Sagna M
9 A. El Ouazzani F
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
20 H. Picard
18 G. Courtet
2 B. Roux
17 J. Siwe
15 V. Manceau
19 J. Iglesias
30 B. Niasse

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
U
3,07
B
3,34
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,46
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.