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Ligue 2
Referee: N Rainville
Dunkerque
U S S T U
0–1
Full-time
Guingamp
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 34%
32%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
42%
45%
Both score Ø 39%
42%
35%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
10 Shots 14
0 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dunkerque 15. · Guingamp 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 31 17 10 4 +28 61
2 St Etienne 32 16 6 10 +14 54
3 Angers 31 16 6 9 +12 54
4 Laval 31 13 10 8 +5 49
5 Rodez 31 12 11 8 +8 47
6 Paris FC 31 12 10 9 +5 46
7 Caen 31 13 6 12 +2 45
8 Guingamp 31 11 11 9 +6 44
9 Pau FC 31 11 11 9 +1 44
10 Amiens 31 10 13 8 -2 43
11 Bordeaux 31 11 9 11 -4 42
12 Ajaccio 32 11 9 12 -4 42
13 Grenoble 31 10 11 10 +2 41
14 Bastia 31 10 8 13 -7 38
15 Dunkerque 31 10 8 13 -13 38
16 Annecy 31 9 9 13 -4 36
17 Troyes 31 8 11 12 -6 35
18 Concarneau 31 9 6 16 -13 33
19 Quevilly Rouen 31 5 14 12 -4 29
20 Valenciennes 31 2 11 18 -26 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dunkerque Guingamp
19′
🔁 J. Siwe
↦ B. Guillaume
22′
🟨 Dylan Louiserre
Half-time 0–1
58′
J. Siwe 0–1
A. Sagna
Nehemiah Fernandez 🟨
64′
A. Maurer 🔁
↦ R. Ghrieb
70′
S. Baghdadi 🔁
↦ J. Anziani
70′
72′
🟨 Lenny Vallier
Nehemiah Fernandez 🟨
75′
Nehemiah Fernandez 🟥
75′
A. Laaziri 🔁
↦ G. Yassine
77′
77′
🔁 K. Sidibé
↦ M. Merghem
77′
🔁 H. Picard
↦ A. Sagna
T. Keita 🔁
↦ J. Gbamin
87′
88′
🔁 U. Bonnet
↦ A. El Ouazzani
Opa Sangante 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Dunkerque

4-4-2
30 M. Koné G
19 B. Youssouf D
26 Opa Sanganté D
23 B. Lagae D
4 N. Fernandez-Veliz D
27 R. Ghrieb M
25 J. Gbamin M
10 J. Anziani M
80 G. Yassine M
20 E. Bardeli F
24 E. Bah F
Bench (7)
92 A. Maurer
9 S. Baghdadi
15 A. Laaziri
8 T. Keita
16 A. Balijon
3 L. Bessilé
2 A. Ba

Coach: Luís Castro

Guingamp

4-2-3-1
16 E. Basilio G
31 L. Maronnier D
7 D. Gomis D
24 P. Lemonnier D
6 L. Vallier D
4 D. Louiserre M
22 V. Lobry M
10 M. Merghem M
21 B. Guillaume M
11 A. Sagna M
9 A. El Ouazzani F
Bench (7)
17 J. Siwe
8 K. Sidibé
20 H. Picard
29 U. Bonnet
30 B. Niasse
18 L. Phiri
2 B. Roux

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,53
U
3,08
B ✓
2,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Rainville · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.