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Ligue 2
Referee: K Abed
Clermont
T S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Metz
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 43%
31%
54%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 46%
38%
54%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Clermont 13. · Metz 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 13 8 3 2 +11 27
2 Lorient 13 8 2 3 +11 26
3 Dunkerque 13 8 1 4 +4 25
4 Metz 13 7 3 3 +9 24
5 Annecy 13 6 4 3 +3 22
6 Amiens 13 6 2 5 +2 20
7 Guingamp 13 6 1 6 +2 19
8 Grenoble 13 5 2 6 +2 17
9 Laval 13 4 4 5 +2 16
10 Bastia 12 3 7 2 +0 16
11 Pau FC 13 4 4 5 -4 16
12 Rodez 13 4 3 6 +2 15
13 Clermont 13 4 3 6 -3 15
14 Caen 13 4 2 7 -3 14
15 Ajaccio 12 4 2 6 -3 14
16 Troyes 13 4 2 7 -6 14
17 Red Star 13 4 2 7 -11 14
18 Martigues 13 2 3 8 -18 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Clermont Metz
1–0 M. Baaloudj
B. Diallo
14′
Habib Keita 🟨
21′
27′
I. Sané 1–1
S. Elisor
Half-time 1–1
Mehdi Baaloudj 🟨
56′
62′
🔁 M. Bokele Mputu
↦ J. Asoro
62′
🔁 C. Sabaly
↦ S. Elisor
63′
🔁 K. Kouao
↦ K. Van Den Kerkhof
72′
🔁 A. Jallow
↦ I. Sané
78′
🟨 Benjamin Stambouli
Y. Armougom 🔁
↦ O. Diop
79′
M. Toure 🔁
↦ M. Baaloudj
79′
M. Bouchenna 🔁
↦ H. Keïta
80′
A. Maurer 🔁
↦ M. Douane
80′
90′
🔁 J. Nduquidi
↦ J. Deminguet
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Clermont

4-3-3
1 M. N'Diaye G
15 C. Konaté D
12 D. Da Silva D
97 J. Jacquet D
31 B. Diallo D
7 Y. Magnin M
25 J. Gastien M
6 H. Keïta M
17 O. Diop F
77 M. Baaloudj F
11 M. Douane F
Bench (7)
22 Y. Armougom
49 M. Toure
19 M. Bouchenna
92 A. Maurer
30 T. Guivarch
20 J. Isala
37 T. Diagouraga

Coach: L. Batlles

Metz

4-4-2
16 A. Oukidja G
22 K. Van Den Kerkhof D
38 S. Sané D
8 I. Traoré D
3 M. Udol D
9 I. Sané M
21 B. Stambouli M
20 J. Deminguet M
99 J. Asoro M
31 S. Elisor F
7 G. Hein F
Bench (7)
19 M. Bokele Mputu
14 C. Sabaly
39 K. Kouao
36 A. Jallow
6 J. Nduquidi
15 A. Lô
57 A. Mirbach

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,45
U ✓
3,13
B
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.