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Ligue 2
Referee: T Bouille
Caen
T T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Guingamp
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 37%
21%
53%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
47%
63%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 17. · Guingamp 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 19 11 4 4 +14 37
2 Metz 19 9 7 3 +13 34
3 Paris FC 19 10 4 5 +9 34
4 Dunkerque 19 10 3 6 +4 33
5 Annecy 19 9 6 4 +4 33
6 Guingamp 19 10 2 7 +10 32
7 Laval 19 8 6 5 +10 30
8 Grenoble 19 8 3 8 +1 27
9 Pau FC 19 7 6 6 +1 27
10 Amiens 19 8 2 9 -4 26
11 Bastia 19 5 10 4 +4 25
12 Clermont 19 6 6 7 -3 24
13 Rodez 19 6 5 8 -1 23
14 Red Star 19 6 4 9 -12 22
15 Troyes 19 6 3 10 -3 21
16 Ajaccio 19 5 3 11 -11 18
17 Caen 19 4 3 12 -9 15
18 Martigues 19 3 3 13 -27 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Guingamp
Yannis Clementia 🟨
-5′
44′
B. Labeau 0–1
Half-time 0–1
49′
🟨 Severin Sabri Guendouz
56′
🔁 Junior Armando Mendes
↦ S. Guendouz
T. Gomis 🔁
↦ M. Le Bihan
68′
73′
🔁 R. Touzghar
↦ T. Luvambo
G. Kyeremeh 🔁
↦ I. Najim
74′
Quentin Lecoeuche 🟨
75′
L. Rajot 🔁
↦ N. Lebreton
80′
83′
🟨 Rayan Touzghar
88′
🔁 T. Godame
↦ B. Labeau
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Caen

4-2-3-1
1 A. Mandréa G
25 L. Sy D
5 A. Moucketou-Moussounda D
61 B. Traoré D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
77 D. Debohi
20 N. Lebreton M
10 B. Brahimi M
8 M. Le Bihan M
50 I. Najim M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
7 T. Gomis
17 G. Kyeremeh
14 L. Rajot
16 Y. Clémentia
3 D. Bolumbu
6 Y. M'Vila
29 R. Thomas

Coach: Bruno Baltazar

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
26 M. Riou D
7 D. Gomis D
18 S. Nair D
31 D. Ourega D
19 S. Guendouz M
8 K. Sidibé M
4 D. Louiserre M
10 H. Picard M
9 B. Labeau F
23 T. Luvambo F
Bench (7)
29 Junior Armando Mendes
27 R. Touzghar
34 T. Godame
24 P. Lemonnier
30 B. Niasse
36 A. Demouchy
2 L. Maronnier

Coach: S. Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,94
U
3,33
B ✓
2,35
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bouille · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.