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Ligue 2

Referee: K Abed

Guingamp

S U U T T

1–0

Full-time

Caen

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 38%

33%

42%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 46%

42%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

7 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 11. · Caen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	24	13	8	3	+23	47
2	Angers	25	14	4	7	+12	46
3	Grenoble	24	10	10	4	+11	40
4	Laval	24	11	7	6	+3	40
5	St Etienne	25	11	5	9	+7	38
6	Caen	24	10	6	8	+2	36
7	Ajaccio	24	10	6	8	+1	36
8	Amiens	24	9	8	7	-3	35
9	Pau FC	24	8	10	6	+1	34
10	Paris FC	24	9	6	9	+1	33
11	Guingamp	24	8	8	8	+2	32
12	Rodez	24	8	8	8	+1	32
13	Bordeaux	24	9	5	10	-4	32
14	Concarneau	24	9	4	11	-5	31
15	Bastia	24	8	6	10	-1	30
16	Troyes	24	6	9	9	-6	27
17	Dunkerque	24	6	6	12	-15	24
18	Annecy	24	5	8	11	-8	23
19	Quevilly Rouen	24	4	9	11	-5	21
20	Valenciennes	24	2	9	13	-17	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	13	10	2	1	+14	32
2	Ajaccio	12	8	4	0	+13	28
3	Auxerre	12	7	3	2	+13	24
4	Grenoble	12	6	5	1	+8	23
5	Rodez	12	6	4	2	+8	22
6	Caen	12	6	3	3	+7	21
7	Bordeaux	12	6	3	3	+5	21
8	Bastia	12	6	3	3	+3	21
9	Amiens	13	5	6	2	+3	21
10	Pau FC	12	5	5	2	+5	20
11	St Etienne	13	5	3	5	+5	18
12	Paris FC	13	5	3	5	+3	18
13	Laval	12	5	3	4	-3	18
14	Troyes	11	5	2	4	+2	17
15	Concarneau	11	4	2	5	-4	14
16	Guingamp	11	3	4	4	+2	13
17	Annecy	12	2	5	5	-5	11
18	Quevilly Rouen	12	2	4	6	-3	10
19	Valenciennes	12	1	5	6	-6	8
20	Dunkerque	12	2	2	8	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	12	6	5	1	+10	23
2	Laval	12	6	4	2	+6	22
3	St Etienne	12	6	2	4	+2	20
4	Guingamp	13	5	4	4	+0	19
5	Grenoble	12	4	5	3	+3	17
6	Concarneau	13	5	2	6	-1	17
7	Dunkerque	12	4	4	4	-3	16
8	Paris FC	11	4	3	4	-2	15
9	Caen	12	4	3	5	-5	15
10	Angers	12	4	2	6	-2	14
11	Pau FC	12	3	5	4	-4	14
12	Amiens	11	4	2	5	-6	14
13	Annecy	12	3	3	6	-3	12
14	Quevilly Rouen	12	2	5	5	-2	11
15	Bordeaux	12	3	2	7	-9	11
16	Rodez	12	2	4	6	-7	10
17	Troyes	13	1	7	5	-8	10
18	Bastia	12	2	3	7	-4	9
19	Ajaccio	12	2	2	8	-12	8
20	Valenciennes	12	1	4	7	-11	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.