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Serie A

Referee: K Bonacina

Torino

T U U U U

2–0

Full-time

Cagliari

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 24%

24%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

33%

48%

Both score Ø 50%

48%

52%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,56 xG 0,36

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Torino 11. · Cagliari 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	21	16	2	3	+21	+13.3	50
2	Inter	20	14	5	1	+33	+22.8	47
3	Atalanta	21	13	4	4	+22	+15.7	43
4	Lazio	21	12	3	6	+9	+9.1	39
5	Juventus	21	8	13	0	+17	+12.5	37
6	Fiorentina	20	9	6	5	+12	+9.2	33
7	Bologna	20	8	9	3	+6	+5.4	33
8	Milan	20	8	7	5	+8	+13.0	31
9	Roma	21	7	6	8	+4	+1.8	27
10	Udinese	21	7	5	9	-8	-8.2	26
11	Torino	21	5	8	8	-5	-8.3	23
12	Genoa	21	5	8	8	-12	-9.1	23
13	Como	21	5	7	9	-8	+2.4	22
14	Cagliari	21	5	6	10	-11	-6.7	21
15	Empoli	21	4	8	9	-8	-10.7	20
16	Parma	21	4	8	9	-10	-13.9	20
17	Lecce	21	5	5	11	-21	-13.3	20
18	Verona	21	6	1	14	-23	-13.9	19
19	Venezia	21	3	6	12	-15	-13.6	15
20	Monza	21	2	7	12	-11	-7.7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	11	7	3	1	+13	+10.0	24
2	Napoli	10	8	0	2	+9	+10.6	24
3	Atalanta	10	7	1	2	+13	+8.0	22
4	Roma	11	7	0	4	+12	+6.9	21
5	Lazio	10	6	3	1	+5	+5.7	21
6	Juventus	11	4	7	0	+8	+8.6	19
7	Fiorentina	10	5	3	2	+5	+8.4	18
8	Milan	10	4	5	1	+9	+10.0	17
9	Bologna	10	4	5	1	+6	+8.1	17
10	Como	10	4	3	3	+1	+3.1	15
11	Udinese	10	4	2	4	-2	-2.6	14
12	Lecce	10	3	4	3	-8	-1.1	13
13	Parma	11	3	3	5	-2	-4.2	12
14	Cagliari	11	3	3	5	-7	-1.2	12
15	Venezia	10	3	2	5	-2	+0.5	11
16	Torino	10	2	4	4	-3	-5.5	10
17	Verona	11	3	1	7	-14	-4.4	10
18	Genoa	11	1	6	4	-6	-4.2	9
19	Empoli	10	1	4	5	-7	-3.5	7
20	Monza	11	1	3	7	-6	-3.5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	11	8	2	1	+12	+2.7	26
2	Inter	9	7	2	0	+20	+12.7	23
3	Atalanta	11	6	3	2	+9	+7.7	21
4	Juventus	10	4	6	0	+9	+3.9	18
5	Lazio	11	6	0	5	+4	+3.5	18
6	Bologna	10	4	4	2	+0	-2.7	16
7	Fiorentina	10	4	3	3	+7	+0.7	15
8	Milan	10	4	2	4	-1	+3.0	14
9	Genoa	10	4	2	4	-6	-4.9	14
10	Empoli	11	3	4	4	-1	-7.2	13
11	Torino	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.7	13
12	Udinese	11	3	3	5	-6	-5.5	12
13	Cagliari	10	2	3	5	-4	-5.5	9
14	Verona	10	3	0	7	-9	-9.4	9
15	Parma	10	1	5	4	-8	-9.7	8
16	Monza	10	1	4	5	-5	-4.2	7
17	Como	11	1	4	6	-9	-0.7	7
18	Lecce	11	2	1	8	-13	-12.2	7
19	Roma	10	0	6	4	-8	-5.0	6
20	Venezia	11	0	4	7	-13	-14.1	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.