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Ligue 2

Referee: F Benchabane

Bastia

S T S T T

1–1

Full-time

Pau FC

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 32%

26%

37%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

42%

37%

Both score Ø 45%

47%

42%

Average goals

2,1

2,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

17 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 22

1 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 11. · Pau FC 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	19	11	4	4	+14	37
2	Metz	19	9	7	3	+13	34
3	Paris FC	19	10	4	5	+9	34
4	Dunkerque	19	10	3	6	+4	33
5	Annecy	19	9	6	4	+4	33
6	Guingamp	19	10	2	7	+10	32
7	Laval	19	8	6	5	+10	30
8	Grenoble	19	8	3	8	+1	27
9	Pau FC	19	7	6	6	+1	27
10	Amiens	19	8	2	9	-4	26
11	Bastia	19	5	10	4	+4	25
12	Clermont	19	6	6	7	-3	24
13	Rodez	19	6	5	8	-1	23
14	Red Star	19	6	4	9	-12	22
15	Troyes	19	6	3	10	-3	21
16	Ajaccio	19	5	3	11	-11	18
17	Caen	19	4	3	12	-9	15
18	Martigues	19	3	3	13	-27	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	9	8	1	0	+16	25
2	Dunkerque	10	8	0	2	+8	24
3	Metz	10	6	4	0	+13	22
4	Guingamp	10	6	2	2	+14	20
5	Grenoble	10	6	2	2	+7	20
6	Amiens	10	6	2	2	+4	20
7	Annecy	9	6	1	2	+6	19
8	Pau FC	9	5	3	1	+7	18
9	Bastia	9	4	5	0	+8	17
10	Paris FC	9	5	2	2	+4	17
11	Ajaccio	10	5	2	3	+3	17
12	Laval	9	4	3	2	+4	15
13	Rodez	9	4	1	4	+0	13
14	Clermont	10	2	5	3	+1	11
15	Troyes	9	3	2	4	+0	11
16	Caen	10	3	2	5	-2	11
17	Red Star	9	3	2	4	-6	11
18	Martigues	10	0	1	9	-17	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	10	5	2	3	+5	17
2	Laval	10	4	3	3	+6	15
3	Annecy	10	3	5	2	-2	14
4	Clermont	9	4	1	4	-4	13
5	Metz	9	3	3	3	+0	12
6	Lorient	10	3	3	4	-2	12
7	Guingamp	9	4	0	5	-4	12
8	Red Star	10	3	2	5	-6	11
9	Martigues	9	3	2	4	-10	11
10	Rodez	10	2	4	4	-1	10
11	Troyes	10	3	1	6	-3	10
12	Dunkerque	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Pau FC	10	2	3	5	-6	9
14	Bastia	10	1	5	4	-4	8
15	Grenoble	9	2	1	6	-6	7
16	Amiens	9	2	0	7	-8	6
17	Caen	9	1	1	7	-7	4
18	Ajaccio	9	0	1	8	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.