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Ligue 2
Referee: P Legat
Caen
T T T T T
0–2
Full-time
Dunkerque
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 36%
19%
52%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
48%
38%
Both score Ø 48%
43%
52%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

33% Possession 67%
4 Shots 20
0 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 3
6 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 18. · Dunkerque 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 22 14 4 4 +18 46
2 Paris FC 22 13 4 5 +15 43
3 Metz 22 11 8 3 +18 41
4 Guingamp 22 12 2 8 +13 38
5 Dunkerque 21 11 3 7 +5 36
6 Annecy 22 10 6 6 +2 36
7 Laval 22 9 7 6 +10 34
8 Grenoble 22 9 4 9 -1 31
9 Bastia 22 6 12 4 +6 30
10 Pau FC 22 7 8 7 -1 29
11 Amiens 22 9 2 11 -8 29
12 Troyes 22 8 3 11 +0 27
13 Clermont 22 6 6 10 -7 24
14 Ajaccio 22 7 3 12 -12 24
15 Rodez 22 6 5 11 -5 23
16 Red Star 22 6 5 11 -16 23
17 Martigues 22 5 3 14 -24 18
18 Caen 21 4 3 14 -13 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Dunkerque
Yannis Clementia 🟨
-5′
25′
🟨 Vincent Sasso
Noe Lebreton 🟨
30′
Bilal Brahimi 🟥
37′
45′
G. Courtet 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Y. M'Vila 🔁
↦ N. Lebreton
46′
V. Henry 🔁
↦ I. Najim
46′
Jules Gaudin 🟨
54′
56′
N. Skyttä 0–2
E. Bardeli
61′
🔁 Núrio Fortuna
↦ Abner
61′
🔁 Y. Bammou
↦ Muhannad Al Saad
G. Kyeremeh 🔁
↦ L. Sy
70′
75′
🔁 K. Tejan
↦ G. Yassine
E. Ntim 🔁
↦ J. Gaudin
79′
Alexandre Mendy 🟨
87′
Yann M'Vila 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Yacine Bammou
87′
🟨 Ugo Raghouber
88′
🔁 A. Ba
↦ G. Courtet
88′
🔁 G. Kondo
↦ V. Sasso
92′
🟨 Kay Tejan
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Caen

4-2-3-1
1 A. Mandréa G
25 L. Sy D
5 A. Moucketou-Moussounda D
61 B. Traoré D
27 J. Gaudin D
77 D. Debohi
20 N. Lebreton M
21 S. Grandsir M
10 B. Brahimi M
50 I. Najim M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
6 Y. M'Vila
4 V. Henry
17 G. Kyeremeh
91 E. Ntim
29 R. Thomas
14 L. Rajot
16 Y. Clémentia

Coach: Bruno Baltazar

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
16 Adrián Ortolá G
2 A. Georgen D
26 Opa Sanganté D
23 V. Sasso D
30 Abner D
28 U. Raghouber M
77 Muhannad Al Saad M
22 N. Skyttä M
20 E. Bardeli M
80 G. Yassine M
18 G. Courtet F
Bench (7)
25 Núrio Fortuna
19 Y. Bammou
9 K. Tejan
31 A. Ba
21 G. Kondo
11 A. Pitu
1 E. Jaouen

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,93
U
3,29
B ✓
2,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Legat · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.