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Ligue 2
Referee: M Leleu
Caen
S T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Dunkerque
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
35%
18%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
59%
41%
Both score Ø 47%
59%
35%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 12. · Dunkerque 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 18 10 5 3 +18 35
2 Angers 17 10 4 3 +13 34
3 Laval 17 10 3 4 +6 33
4 Pau FC 17 8 5 4 +3 29
5 Grenoble 17 7 7 3 +4 28
6 Guingamp 17 7 6 4 +9 27
7 Ajaccio 18 7 6 5 +1 27
8 St Etienne 18 7 4 7 -1 25
9 Rodez 17 6 5 6 +1 23
10 Paris FC 17 7 2 8 +0 23
11 Amiens 17 6 5 6 -4 23
12 Caen 17 6 4 7 +1 22
13 Bastia 17 5 5 7 -1 20
14 Bordeaux 18 5 5 8 -7 20
15 Troyes 17 4 7 6 +0 19
16 Annecy 17 4 7 6 -4 19
17 Concarneau 17 5 4 8 -6 19
18 Quevilly Rouen 17 3 6 8 -4 15
19 Dunkerque 17 3 4 10 -16 13
20 Valenciennes 17 1 8 8 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Dunkerque
1–0 B. Brahimi
N. Lebreton
8′
Half-time 1–0
Didí Gaucho 🟨
58′
61′
🔁 S. Baghdadi
↦ E. Bah
63′
🟨 Ibrahima Sy
D. Meddah 🔁
↦ N. Lebreton
70′
Valentin Henry 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Julien Anziani
M. Hafid 🔁
↦ B. Brahimi
82′
82′
🔁 T. Keita
↦ H. Gambor
82′
🔁 M. Guel
↦ J. Anziani
T. Gomis 🔁
↦ G. Kyeremeh
89′
M. Le Bihan 🔁
↦ Alexandre Mendy
89′
90′
🔁 Á. Orelién
↦ I. Sy
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Caen

4-4-2
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
61 B. Traoré D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
17 G. Kyeremeh M
97 D. Debohi
20 N. Lebreton M
23 M. Autret M
21 B. Brahimi F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
27 D. Meddah
22 M. Hafid
7 T. Gomis
11 M. Le Bihan
16 Y. Clémentia
91 E. Ntim
28 D. Diani

Coach: N. Seube

Dunkerque

4-4-1-1
16 A. Balijon G
19 B. Youssouf D
26 Opa Sanganté D
4 N. Fernandez-Veliz D
15 A. Laaziri D
77 I. Sy M
5 R. Boissier M
23 H. Gambor M
10 J. Anziani M
20 E. Bardeli F
24 E. Bah F
Bench (7)
9 S. Baghdadi
8 T. Keita
14 M. Guel
29 Á. Orelién
13 J. Senneville
1 L. Lavallée
17 A. Ipiélé

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
U
3,56
B
4,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.