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Ligue 2
Referee: K Abed
Nancy
U S S U T
0–1
Full-time
Red Star
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nancy Red Star
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

29% Possession 71%
4 Shots 15
0 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nancy 5. · Red Star 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 5 3 2 0 +6 11
2 Red Star 5 3 1 1 +6 10
3 Troyes 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Pau FC 5 2 2 1 +1 8
5 Nancy 5 2 2 1 +0 8
6 Reims 5 2 2 1 +0 8
7 Rodez 5 2 2 1 -2 8
8 Laval 5 1 4 0 +1 7
9 Guingamp 5 2 1 2 -2 7
10 Amiens 5 1 3 1 +1 6
11 Clermont 5 1 3 1 +0 6
12 Dunkerque 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Grenoble 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Montpellier 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Annecy 5 1 2 2 -2 5
16 Le Mans 5 1 1 3 -2 4
17 Boulogne 5 1 0 4 -3 3
18 Bastia 5 0 2 3 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nancy Red Star
Enzo Basilio 🟥
17′
N. Kenzo 🔁
↦ B. Bokangu
19′
26′
🟨 Saîf-Eddine Khaoui
Half-time 0–0
O. Sidibe 🔁
↦ R. Bamba
46′
P. Ouotro 🔁
↦ W. Bouabdelli
46′
54′
🟨 Dembo Sylla
62′
🔁 J. Eickmayer
↦ S. E. Khaoui
62′
🔁 H. Benali
↦ D. Sylla
F. Maouassa 🔁
↦ Z. Fdaouch
71′
Teddy Bouriaud 🟨
74′
C. Suljic 🔁
↦ T. Bouriaud
76′
Ćazim Suljić 🟨
77′
80′
J. Ikanga 0–1
86′
🔁 B. Danger
↦ D. Durand
93′
🔁 J. Kayi Sanda
↦ J. Ikanga
97′
🟨 Gaetan Poussin
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Nancy

3-4-3
1 E. Basilio G
12 A. Julloux D
14 N. Saint-Ruf D
4 N. Fernandez D
23 R. Bamba M
17 M. Carlier M
6 T. Bouriaud M
19 M. Experience M
8 W. Bouabdelli F
20 B. Bokangu F
7 Z. Fdaouch F
Bench (7)
40 N. Kenzo
27 F. Maouassa
21 E. Mendy
11 O. Sidibe
5 C. Suljic
29 P. Ouotro
26 Z. Ztouti

Coach: Pablo Correa

Red Star

3-1-4-2
16 G. Poussin G
20 D. Durivaux D
24 P. Lemonnier D
3 M. Huard D
81 G. Haag M
22 D. Sylla M
98 R. Hachem M
10 S. E. Khaoui M
11 K. Cisse M
23 J. Ikanga F
7 D. Durand F
Bench (7)
1 Q. Beunardeau
27 B. Danger
4 J. Kayi Sanda
8 J. Eickmayer
17 S. Renel
29 H. Benali
91 K. Cabral

Coach: Gregory Poirier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U
3,11
B ✓
2,82
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.