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Ligue 2
Referee: E Rosier
Troyes
S S U S T
3–0
Full-time
Nancy
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Nancy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
22 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 6. · Nancy 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 4 2 2 0 +5 8
2 Pau FC 4 2 2 0 +4 8
3 Nancy 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Red Star 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Reims 4 2 1 1 +0 7
6 Troyes 4 2 1 1 +0 7
7 Clermont 4 1 3 0 +1 6
8 Amiens 4 1 2 1 +1 5
9 Dunkerque 4 1 2 1 +0 5
10 Montpellier 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Rodez 4 1 2 1 -3 5
12 Laval 4 0 4 0 +0 4
13 Le Mans 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Annecy 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Guingamp 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Grenoble 4 0 2 2 -2 2
17 Bastia 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Boulogne 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Nancy
1–0 T. Bentayeb
I. Boura
20′
Jaures Assoumou 🟨
31′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 T. Bentayeb
50′
64′
🔁 J. Evans
↦ R. Bamba
64′
🔁 F. Maouassa
↦ B. Bokangu
64′
🔁 A. Julloux
↦ E. Mendy
M. Detourbet 🔁
↦ J. Assoumou
72′
3–0 M. Adeline
M. Diop
74′
M. El Idrissy 🔁
↦ T. Bentayeb
78′
E. Odede 🔁
↦ M. Ifnaoui
79′
79′
🔁 O. Sidibe
↦ M. Experience
79′
🔁 P. Ouotro
↦ Z. Fdaouch
A. Ouzenadji 🔁
↦ M. Adeline
83′
R. Murcy 🔁
↦ Y. Titi
83′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Troyes

4-1-4-1
16 N. Lemaitre G
44 Y. Titi D
6 A. Monfray D
25 P. Gozzi D
14 I. Boura D
8 M. Diop M
10 M. Ifnaoui M
17 A. Mille M
5 M. Adeline M
15 J. Assoumou M
21 T. Bentayeb F
Bench (7)
40 H. Konate
12 H. Gambor
3 A. Ouzenadji
35 R. Murcy
E. Odede
11 M. Detourbet
9 M. El Idrissy

Coach: Stephane Dumont

Nancy

3-4-2-1
1 E. Basilio G
4 N. Fernandez D
14 N. Saint-Ruf D
21 E. Mendy D
23 R. Bamba M
17 M. Carlier M
6 T. Bouriaud M
19 M. Experience M
8 W. Bouabdelli F
7 Z. Fdaouch F
20 B. Bokangu F
Bench (7)
40 N. Kenzo
5 C. Suljic
11 O. Sidibe
22 J. Evans
27 F. Maouassa
29 P. Ouotro
12 A. Julloux

Coach: Pablo Correa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,12
U
3,12
B
3,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Rosier · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.