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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Guingamp
U S T U T
0–4
Full-time
Red Star
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Red Star
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 14. · Red Star 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nancy 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Clermont 3 1 2 0 +1 5
3 St Etienne 2 1 1 0 +4 4
4 Pau FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Amiens 3 1 1 1 +1 4
6 Reims 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Montpellier 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Troyes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Le Mans 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Annecy 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Laval 3 0 3 0 +0 3
12 Dunkerque 3 0 2 1 -2 2
13 Rodez 3 0 2 1 -4 2
14 Guingamp 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Bastia 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Grenoble 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Red Star 2 0 1 1 -2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Red Star
23′
J. Ikanga 0–1
S. E. Khaoui
Amine Hemia 🟨
38′
43′
🟨 Matthieu Huard
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Saîf-Eddine Khaoui
48′
A. Demouchy 1–1
own goal
56′
S. E. Khaoui 1–2
D. Ourega 🔁
↦ A. Abdallah
58′
J. Siwe 🔁
↦ J. Hatchi
58′
61′
🟨 Jovany Ikanga
T. Ahile 🔁
↦ K. Sidibe
62′
D. N'Landu 🔁
↦ D. Louiserre
63′
72′
J. Ikanga 1–3
K. Cisse
74′
🔁 B. Danger
↦ S. E. Khaoui
E. Koffi 🔁
↦ G. Ott
75′
75′
🔁 H. Benali
↦ D. Durand
75′
🔁 A. Hachem
↦ J. Ikanga
83′
🔁 S. Renel
↦ J. Eickmayer
88′
🔁 G. Trani
↦ K. Cisse
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-5-1
16 A. Ortola G
22 A. Sissoko D
7 D. Gomis D
36 A. Demouchy D
29 A. Abdallah D
20 J. Hatchi M
8 K. Sidibe M
4 D. Louiserre M
10 A. Hemia M
24 G. Ott M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne
23 D. Ourega
3 J. Matumona
2 E. Koffi
39 T. Ahile
6 D. N'Landu
17 J. Siwe

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Red Star

3-4-2-1
16 G. Poussin G
20 D. Durivaux D
24 P. Lemonnier D
3 M. Huard D
22 D. Sylla M
98 R. Hachem M
8 J. Eickmayer M
11 K. Cisse M
10 S. E. Khaoui F
7 D. Durand F
23 J. Ikanga F
Bench (7)
1 Q. Beunardeau
27 B. Danger
12 V. Kany
17 S. Renel
25 G. Trani
29 H. Benali
21 A. Hachem

Coach: Gregory Poirier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U
3,57
B ✓
4,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,83
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.