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Ligue 2
Referee: G Kubler
Pau FC
T S U S U
0–3
Full-time
Red Star
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Red Star
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
1 Offside 5
6 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 2. · Red Star 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 4 2 2 0 +5 8
2 Pau FC 4 2 2 0 +4 8
3 Nancy 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Red Star 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Reims 4 2 1 1 +0 7
6 Troyes 4 2 1 1 +0 7
7 Clermont 4 1 3 0 +1 6
8 Amiens 4 1 2 1 +1 5
9 Dunkerque 4 1 2 1 +0 5
10 Montpellier 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Rodez 4 1 2 1 -3 5
12 Laval 4 0 4 0 +0 4
13 Le Mans 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Annecy 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Guingamp 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Grenoble 4 0 2 2 -2 2
17 Bastia 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Boulogne 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC Red Star
1′
H. Benali 0–1
D. Durivaux
Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa 🟥
2′
S. Karamoko 🔁
↦ K. Gasnier
7′
Jean Ruiz 🟨
26′
29′
🟨 Matthieu Huard
45′
H. Benali 0–2
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 D. Durand
↦ H. Benali
Tom Pouilly 🟥
65′
Anthony Briançon 🟨
67′
E. Zuliani 🔁
↦ G. Versini
67′
N. Glossoa 🔁
↦ K. Dong
67′
R. Messi 🔁
↦ A. Bobichon
67′
69′
🟨 Kemo Cissé
C. Fall 🔁
↦ S. Beusnard
74′
74′
🔁 S. Renel
↦ S. E. Khaoui
74′
🔁 A. Hachem
↦ J. Ikanga
81′
D. Durand 0–3
K. Cisse
86′
🔁 G. Trani
↦ K. Cisse
86′
🔁 K. Cabral
↦ R. Hachem
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Pau FC

4-4-2
22 N. Raveyre G
2 T. Pouilly D
23 A. Briancon D
25 J. Ruiz D
3 J. Kalulu D
10 G. Versini
84 R. Touzghar M
21 S. Beusnard M
9 K. Dong M
14 A. Bobichon F
11 K. Gasnier F
Bench (7)
40 T. Paradowski
19 Kante
4 S. Karamoko
6 C. Fall
87 E. Zuliani
26 N. Glossoa
7 R. Messi

Coach: Thierry Debes

Red Star

3-1-4-2
16 G. Poussin G
4 J. Kayi Sanda D
24 P. Lemonnier D
3 M. Huard D
81 G. Haag M
20 D. Durivaux M
10 S. E. Khaoui M
98 R. Hachem M
11 K. Cisse M
29 H. Benali F
23 J. Ikanga F
Bench (7)
1 Q. Beunardeau
22 D. Sylla
17 S. Renel
25 G. Trani
91 K. Cabral
7 D. Durand
21 A. Hachem

Coach: Gregory Poirier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,70
U
3,15
B ✓
2,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Kubler · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.