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Ligue 2
Referee: Thierry Bouille
Annecy
S T U T S
1–0
Full-time
Bastia
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Annecy Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 19%
29%
8%
Points per game
1,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
43%
23%
Both score Ø 41%
50%
31%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,1
0,5
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
18 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 5
20 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Annecy 12. · Bastia 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 14 8 4 2 +12 28
2 Red Star 14 8 3 3 +6 27
3 St Etienne 14 8 2 4 +10 26
4 Montpellier 14 7 3 4 +5 24
5 Pau FC 14 6 5 3 -1 23
6 Reims 14 6 4 4 +6 22
7 Le Mans 14 5 6 3 +2 21
8 Dunkerque 14 5 5 4 +8 20
9 Guingamp 14 5 5 4 -2 20
10 Grenoble 14 4 5 5 -1 17
11 Clermont 14 4 5 5 -4 17
12 Annecy 14 4 4 6 +0 16
13 Rodez 14 4 4 6 -6 16
14 Amiens 14 4 3 7 -4 15
15 Nancy 14 4 3 7 -6 15
16 Laval 13 2 6 5 -5 12
17 Boulogne 14 3 3 8 -9 12
18 Bastia 13 1 4 8 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Annecy Bastia
30′
🟨 Tom Meynadier
1–0 F. Lajugie
C. Billemaz
34′
Half-time 1–0
P. Venot 🔁
↦ A. Casadei
53′
56′
🟥 Anthony Roncaglia
57′
🟨 Dominique Guidi
59′
🔁 N. Zilliox
↦ J. Guevara
70′
🔁 A. Zaouai
↦ C. Vincent
70′
🔁 M. Petrignani
↦ I. Karamoko
Antoine Larose 🟨
75′
Q. Paris 🔁
↦ A. Larose
77′
77′
🔁 A. Aiki
↦ J. Sebas
77′
🔁 M. Ble
↦ F. Tomi
Axel Drouhin 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Annecy

3-4-3
16 T. Callens G
6 F. Lajugie D
18 A. Drouhin D
27 J. Kouadio D
2 T. Rowe M
29 A. Casadei M
5 A. Kashi M
22 C. Billemaz M
28 A. Larose F
71 B. Toure F
8 A. Hbouch F
Bench (7)
30 M. Gonzalez
23 M. Veillon
10 M. Benama
20 J. Tiendrebeogo
25 P. Venot
33 Q. Paris
9 T. Rambaud

Coach: Laurent Guyot

Bastia

3-1-4-2
30 J. Placide G
6 D. Guidi D
4 A. Roncaglia D
3 J. Guevara D
66 J. Janneh M
24 T. Meynadier M
7 C. Vincent M
9 F. Tomi M
5 Z. Ariss M
14 J. Sebas F
8 I. Karamoko F
Bench (7)
1 L. Olmeta
12 N. Zilliox
18 A. Zaouai
29 L. Etoga
33 M. Petrignani
25 A. Aiki
11 M. Ble

Coach: Benoit Tavenot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,30
U
2,86
B
3,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,75
U2,5 ✓
1,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.