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Ligue 2
Referee: Bastien Dechepy
Boulogne
T T U U U
3–1
Full-time
Grenoble
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boulogne Grenoble
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
21%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
20 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boulogne 17. · Grenoble 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 14 8 4 2 +12 28
2 Red Star 14 8 3 3 +6 27
3 St Etienne 14 8 2 4 +10 26
4 Montpellier 14 7 3 4 +5 24
5 Pau FC 14 6 5 3 -1 23
6 Reims 14 6 4 4 +6 22
7 Le Mans 14 5 6 3 +2 21
8 Dunkerque 14 5 5 4 +8 20
9 Guingamp 14 5 5 4 -2 20
10 Grenoble 14 4 5 5 -1 17
11 Clermont 14 4 5 5 -4 17
12 Annecy 14 4 4 6 +0 16
13 Rodez 14 4 4 6 -6 16
14 Amiens 14 4 3 7 -4 15
15 Nancy 14 4 3 7 -6 15
16 Laval 13 2 6 5 -5 12
17 Boulogne 14 3 3 8 -9 12
18 Bastia 13 1 4 8 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boulogne Grenoble
35′
J. Benet 0–1
Half-time 0–1
S. Gourville 🔁
↦ A. Pinot
46′
57′
🟨 Gaëtan Paquiez
63′
🔁 Y. Diaby
↦ N. Zahui
1–1 C. Fatou
69′
A. El Farissi 🔁
↦ N. Fatar
71′
76′
🔁 M. Bangre
↦ S. Diba
77′
🔁 M. Djitte
↦ N. Elphege
2–1 A. Platret
A. El Farissi
80′
Ibrahim Kone 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Clement Vidal
3–1 V. Burlet
81′
85′
🔁 M. Mion
↦ M. Xantippe
S. Keita 🔁
↦ J. Boyer
86′
86′
🔁 H. Mbock
↦ J. Benet
E. Kouassi 🔁
↦ A. Platret
87′
S. Duflos 🔁
↦ C. Fatou
89′
Souleymane Keita 🟨
90′
94′
🟨 Yadaly Diaby
Joffrey Bultel 🟨
95′
Souleymane Keita 🟨
95′
Souleymane Keita 🟥
95′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Boulogne

4-4-2
16 I. Kone G
18 D. Thiam D
15 A. Pinot D
5 N. Zohore D
12 J. Boyer D
21 A. Platret M
14 J. Bultel M
19 N. Binet M
3 V. Burlet M
17 C. Fatou F
23 N. Fatar F
Bench (7)
30 A. Uriev
22 S. Duflos
25 S. Gourville
33 E. Kouassi
10 A. El Farissi
11 S. Keita
27 E. Mpembele Boula

Coach: Fabien Dagneaux

Grenoble

5-3-2
13 M. Diop G
17 S. Delos D
29 G. Paquiez D
5 C. Vidal D
4 S. Mambo D
27 M. Xantippe D
25 T. Valls M
30 S. Diba M
8 J. Benet M
19 N. Zahui F
23 N. Elphege F
Bench (7)
16 B. Allain
24 L. Mouyokolo
26 M. Mion
18 H. Mbock
11 M. Bangre
7 Y. Diaby
2 M. Djitte

Coach: Franck Rizzetto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,58
U
2,97
B
2,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,32
U2,5
1,54
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bastien Dechepy · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.