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Ligue 2
Referee: Brendan Roffet
Montpellier
T S S U S
1–0
Full-time
Annecy
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Annecy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
46%
31%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
23%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 5. · Annecy 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 13 8 4 1 +13 28
2 Red Star 13 8 2 3 +6 26
3 St Etienne 13 7 2 4 +9 23
4 Pau FC 13 6 4 3 -1 22
5 Montpellier 13 6 3 4 +4 21
6 Le Mans 13 5 5 3 +2 20
7 Dunkerque 13 5 4 4 +8 19
8 Reims 13 5 4 4 +4 19
9 Guingamp 13 5 4 4 -2 19
10 Annecy 13 4 4 5 +1 16
11 Rodez 13 4 4 5 -5 16
12 Amiens 13 4 3 6 -3 15
13 Nancy 13 4 3 6 -4 15
14 Grenoble 13 3 5 5 -2 14
15 Clermont 13 3 5 5 -5 14
16 Boulogne 13 3 2 8 -9 11
17 Laval 12 1 6 5 -7 9
18 Bastia 12 1 4 7 -9 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Annecy
12′
🟨 Clement Billemaz
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Paul Venot
1–0 T. Savanier
54′
Nathanaël Mbuku 🟨
59′
70′
🔁 H. Koutoune
↦ C. Billemaz
70′
🔁 F. Lajugie
↦ J. Kouadio
70′
🔁 A. Hbouch
↦ J. Tiendrebeogo
70′
🔁 Q. Paris
↦ A. Larose
Naoufel El Hannach 🟨
75′
E. Tchato 🔁
↦ N. El Hannach
78′
K. Fayad 🔁
↦ T. Savanier
78′
83′
🔁 T. Rambaud
↦ B. Toure
Julien Laporte 🟨
87′
L. Mincarelli 🔁
↦ T. Sainte-Luce
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
31 S. Ngapandouetnbu G
3 N. El Hannach D
15 J. Laporte D
6 C. Jullien D
17 T. Sainte-Luce D
44 T. Chennahi M
27 B. Omeragic M
18 N. Pays M
11 T. Savanier M
7 N. Mbuku M
19 A. Mendy F
Bench (7)
1 M. Michel
21 L. Mincarelli
29 E. Tchato
10 K. Fayad
77 E. Junior Pereira da Silva
28 A. Sishuba
14 V. Orakpo

Coach: Zoumana Camara

Annecy

3-4-3
16 T. Callens G
41 T. Delphis D
18 A. Drouhin D
27 J. Kouadio D
2 T. Rowe M
25 P. Venot M
5 A. Kashi M
22 C. Billemaz M
28 A. Larose F
71 B. Toure F
20 J. Tiendrebeogo F
Bench (7)
30 M. Gonzalez
3 H. Koutoune
6 F. Lajugie
29 A. Casadei
8 A. Hbouch
33 Q. Paris
9 T. Rambaud

Coach: Laurent Guyot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,48
B
4,47
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.