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Ligue 2
Referee: Mikael Lesage
Grenoble
S U T U S
2–1
Full-time
Rodez
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grenoble Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
23%
31%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
38%
46%
Both score Ø 58%
62%
54%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grenoble 14. · Rodez 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 13 8 4 1 +13 28
2 Red Star 13 8 2 3 +6 26
3 St Etienne 13 7 2 4 +9 23
4 Pau FC 13 6 4 3 -1 22
5 Montpellier 13 6 3 4 +4 21
6 Le Mans 13 5 5 3 +2 20
7 Dunkerque 13 5 4 4 +8 19
8 Reims 13 5 4 4 +4 19
9 Guingamp 13 5 4 4 -2 19
10 Annecy 13 4 4 5 +1 16
11 Rodez 13 4 4 5 -5 16
12 Amiens 13 4 3 6 -3 15
13 Nancy 13 4 3 6 -4 15
14 Grenoble 13 3 5 5 -2 14
15 Clermont 13 3 5 5 -5 14
16 Boulogne 13 3 2 8 -9 11
17 Laval 12 1 6 5 -7 9
18 Bastia 12 1 4 7 -9 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grenoble Rodez
1–0 J. Benet
N. Elphege
13′
2–0 N. Elphege
N. Zahui
27′
Half-time 2–0
M. Bangre 🔁
↦ S. Diba
46′
Loris Mouyokolo 🟨
47′
Mattheo Xantippe 🟨
56′
Nesta Elphege 🟨
59′
61′
🔁 F. Tait
↦ W. Younoussa
61′
C. Jolibois 2–1
Y. Diaby 🔁
↦ N. Zahui
65′
M. Mion 🔁
↦ M. Xantippe
66′
72′
🔁 M. Tourraine
↦ N. Galves
72′
🔁 M. Achi
↦ O. Joly
Mathieu Mion 🟨
73′
75′
🟨 Jean Lambert Evan's Allan
A. Kerouedan 🔁
↦ N. Elphege
76′
C. Vidal 🔁
↦ L. Mouyokolo
80′
80′
🔁 R. Ponti
↦ E. Jean-Lambert
80′
🔁 M. Baaloudj
↦ I. Balde
86′
🟨 Mohamed Achi
Gaëtan Paquiez 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Grenoble

5-3-2
13 M. Diop G
17 S. Delos D
29 G. Paquiez D
24 L. Mouyokolo D
4 S. Mambo D
27 M. Xantippe D
25 T. Valls M
30 S. Diba M
8 J. Benet M
19 N. Zahui F
23 N. Elphege F
Bench (7)
1 M. Pattier
5 C. Vidal
26 M. Mion
18 H. Mbock
11 M. Bangre
9 A. Kerouedan
7 Y. Diaby

Coach: Franck Rizzetto

Rodez

5-3-2
1 Q. Braat G
25 N. Galves D
5 C. Jolibois D
4 M. Magnin D
3 R. Lipinski D
15 E. Jean-Lambert D
8 W. Younoussa M
26 S. Benchamma M
22 O. Joly M
18 I. Balde F
9 K. Nagera F
Bench (7)
30 E. Crombez
14 M. Tourraine
20 R. Ponti
7 M. Achi
28 M. Saka
29 F. Tait
10 M. Baaloudj

Coach: Didier Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,29
U
3,21
B
2,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mikael Lesage · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.