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Ligue 2

Referee: G Kubler

Le Mans

S S U U U

1–0

Full-time

Dunkerque

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Mans Dunkerque

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 45%

42%

47%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

37%

63%

Both score Ø 58%

53%

63%

Average goals

2,2

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

10 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 2

6 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Le Mans 6. · Dunkerque 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	20	12	5	3	+15	41
2	Reims	20	10	5	5	+13	35
3	St Etienne	20	10	4	6	+10	34
4	Dunkerque	19	9	6	4	+14	33
5	Red Star	19	9	6	4	+8	33
6	Le Mans	19	8	8	3	+5	32
7	Guingamp	20	9	5	6	+2	32
8	Annecy	20	8	4	8	+5	28
9	Montpellier	20	8	4	8	+1	28
10	Pau FC	20	7	7	6	-4	28
11	Rodez	20	6	8	6	-3	26
12	Clermont	20	5	7	8	-4	22
13	Grenoble	20	5	7	8	-6	22
14	Nancy	20	6	3	11	-11	21
15	Boulogne	20	5	5	10	-10	20
16	Amiens	20	5	4	11	-8	19
17	Laval	20	3	7	10	-14	16
18	Bastia	19	3	5	11	-13	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	11	9	1	1	+14	28
2	Reims	10	7	1	2	+10	22
3	Dunkerque	10	5	3	2	+9	18
4	Le Mans	10	5	3	2	+3	18
5	Guingamp	11	5	3	3	+0	18
6	St Etienne	9	5	2	2	+11	17
7	Annecy	10	4	4	2	+6	16
8	Pau FC	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Montpellier	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Rodez	10	3	5	2	+1	14
11	Grenoble	10	3	5	2	-2	14
12	Clermont	9	3	4	2	+3	13
13	Red Star	9	3	4	2	-1	13
14	Nancy	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Boulogne	10	3	1	6	-7	10
16	Bastia	9	2	2	5	-7	8
17	Amiens	10	1	3	6	-5	6
18	Laval	9	0	3	6	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	10	6	2	2	+9	20
2	St Etienne	11	5	2	4	-1	17
3	Dunkerque	9	4	3	2	+5	15
4	Guingamp	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Le Mans	9	3	5	1	+2	14
6	Montpellier	10	4	2	4	+0	14
7	Reims	10	3	4	3	+3	13
8	Troyes	9	3	4	2	+1	13
9	Amiens	10	4	1	5	-3	13
10	Pau FC	9	3	4	2	-3	13
11	Laval	11	3	4	4	-5	13
12	Annecy	10	4	0	6	-1	12
13	Rodez	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Nancy	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Boulogne	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Clermont	11	2	3	6	-7	9
17	Grenoble	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Bastia	10	1	3	6	-6	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.