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Coupe de France
Referee: A Valnet
Le Mans
U S S S U
0–0
Full-time
Nancy
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Mans Nancy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Coupe de France · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,7
Scored
1,7
3,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
11 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Mans 33. · Nancy 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 4 4 0 0 +15 12
2 Amiens 4 4 0 0 +11 12
3 Troyes 4 4 0 0 +9 12
4 Reims 4 3 1 0 +9 10
5 Le Puy Foot 4 3 1 0 +3 10
6 Chantilly 3 3 0 0 +7 9
7 Orleans 4 3 0 1 +5 9
8 Montpellier 3 3 0 0 +5 9
9 Bayeux 3 3 0 0 +3 9
10 Nancy 3 2 1 0 +6 7
11 Sochaux 4 2 1 1 +5 7
12 Bastia 4 2 1 1 +5 7
13 Grenoble 3 2 1 0 +4 7
14 Les Herbiers 3 2 1 0 +3 7
15 Istres 4 2 1 1 +1 7
16 Montreuil 4 2 1 1 +0 7
17 St Etienne 3 2 0 1 +11 6
18 Lorient 2 2 0 0 +9 6
19 St Maur Lusitanos 3 2 0 1 +9 6
20 Strasbourg 2 2 0 0 +7 6
21 Olympique Marcquois 3 2 0 1 +5 6
22 Lens 2 2 0 0 +5 6
23 Pontivy GSI 3 2 0 1 +5 6
24 Feignies-Aulnoye 3 2 0 1 +4 6
25 Guingamp 3 2 0 1 +4 6
26 Lyon Duchere 3 2 0 1 +3 6
27 Monaco 2 2 0 0 +3 6
28 Canet Roussillon 3 2 0 1 +3 6
29 Concarneau 3 2 0 1 +2 6
30 Dieppe 3 2 0 1 +1 6
31 Bordeaux 3 2 0 1 +1 6
32 Bourg-en-bresse 01 3 2 0 1 -3 6
33 Le Mans 3 1 2 0 +1 5
34 SA Mérignac 3 1 2 0 +1 5
35 Hauts Lyonnais 4 1 2 1 -1 5
36 Dunkerque 3 1 1 1 +4 4
37 Chauvigny 3 1 1 1 +3 4
38 Aubervilliers 2 1 1 0 +3 4
39 Mulhouse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
40 Feurs 2 1 1 0 +2 4
41 Granville 2 1 1 0 +2 4
42 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 3 1 1 1 +2 4
43 Romorantin 2 1 1 0 +2 4
44 Red Star 2 1 1 0 +2 4
45 Périgny 3 1 1 1 +1 4
46 Poitiers 2 1 1 0 +1 4
47 Toulouse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
48 Marmande 2 1 1 0 +1 4
49 Raon l'Etape 3 1 1 1 +0 4
50 Vendée Fontenay 3 1 1 1 -1 4
51 Biesheim 3 1 1 1 -2 4
52 Les Sables-d'Olonne 3 1 1 1 -2 4
53 Freyming 3 1 1 1 -2 4
54 Croix Football IC 3 1 1 1 -3 4
55 Gosier 3 1 1 1 -6 4
56 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +6 3
57 Ancienne Château-Gontier 2 1 0 1 +5 3
58 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +4 3
59 Stade Briochin 2 1 0 1 +3 3
60 Racing Besançon 2 1 0 1 +3 3
61 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
62 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
63 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
64 Metz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
65 Carnoux 2 1 0 1 +2 3
66 MJEP Cormontreuil 2 1 0 1 +2 3
67 Nantes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
68 Chalon 2 1 0 1 +2 3
69 Sarreguemines 2 1 0 1 +1 3
70 Stade Plabennec 2 1 0 1 +1 3
71 Rodez 2 1 0 1 +1 3
72 Nice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
73 Pau FC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
74 Lille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
75 Mazeres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
76 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
77 Bondues 2 1 0 1 +0 3
78 Union Saint-Jean 2 1 0 1 +0 3
79 Yvetot 2 1 0 1 +0 3
80 Chateauroux 2 1 0 1 -1 3
81 Montceau 2 1 0 1 -1 3
82 Beaucouzé 2 1 0 1 -1 3
83 Torcy 2 1 0 1 -2 3
84 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 1 0 1 -3 3
85 Abbeville 2 1 0 1 -4 3
86 Saint-Pauloise 2 1 0 1 -5 3
87 Avranches 4 0 3 1 -6 3
88 Oissel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
89 Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
90 Angers 2 0 2 0 +0 2
91 Rhone-Vallee 2 0 2 0 +0 2
92 Steenvoorde 2 0 2 0 +0 2
93 Saint-Malo 2 0 2 0 +0 2
94 Blois 3 0 2 1 -1 2
95 Stade Béthunois 3 0 2 1 -2 2
96 Saint-Cyr Collonges 3 0 2 1 -3 2
97 Nord Lozère 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Racing Colombes 92 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Pontarlier 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Etoile Matoury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Wittenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Andrézieux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Loon-Plage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Saint-Meziery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Grasse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Villars-l'Isle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Ivry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Etoile Bobigny 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Saint-Brice Courcelles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
116 Pen Hir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
117 Épernay 1 0 1 0 +0 1
118 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
119 Drancy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
120 Gobelins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
121 Colomiers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
122 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
123 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
124 Thonon Évian 1 0 1 0 +0 1
125 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
126 Eveil 1 0 1 0 +0 1
127 Mauguio Carnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
128 Le Geldar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
129 Plouvorn 2 0 1 1 -1 1
130 Selongey 2 0 1 1 -1 1
131 Beauvais 2 0 1 1 -1 1
132 APM Metz 2 0 1 1 -2 1
133 UF Touraine 2 0 1 1 -2 1
134 Seyssinet-Pariset 2 0 1 1 -2 1
135 Bogny 2 0 1 1 -3 1
136 Espoir Ste Luce 2 0 1 1 -4 1
137 Sarre Union 2 0 1 1 -6 1
138 Ecotay Moingt 2 0 1 1 -10 1
139 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Moulien 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Caen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Seignosse Capbreton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 ES Cappelle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Auxerre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Cannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
147 Saint-Colomban Locminé 1 0 0 1 -1 0
148 L'Etrat La Tour 1 0 0 1 -1 0
149 Caen PTT 1 0 0 1 -1 0
150 Lapalisse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
151 SS Allinges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
152 Boé Bon Encontre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
153 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
154 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
155 Angoulême 1 0 0 1 -1 0
156 FC 2 Rives 82 1 0 0 1 -1 0
157 Bandrele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
158 Montmorillon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
159 Dominicaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
160 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Furiani-Agliani 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Orvault SF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 Dinan Léhon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
164 Lavaur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
165 Quetigny 1 0 0 1 -2 0
166 Le Havre 1 0 0 1 -2 0
167 Trélissac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
168 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
169 Agde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
170 Challans 1 0 0 1 -2 0
171 Forbach 1 0 0 1 -2 0
172 Atlas Paillade 1 0 0 1 -2 0
173 Avion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
174 Plédran 1 0 0 1 -2 0
175 Longuenesse 1 0 0 1 -2 0
176 Pierrelatte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
177 Le Poinconnet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
178 SA Beaumont 1 0 0 1 -3 0
179 Porto Portugais Amiens 1 0 0 1 -3 0
180 Blagnac 1 0 0 1 -3 0
181 Auch 1 0 0 1 -3 0
182 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -3 0
183 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
184 ASS Still Mutzig 1 0 0 1 -3 0
185 Olympique de Villefontaine 1 0 0 1 -3 0
186 Magenta 1 0 0 1 -3 0
187 Auby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
188 Les Bleuets 1 0 0 1 -3 0
189 Montreal-la-Cluse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
190 Premontre 1 0 0 1 -3 0
191 Saint-Amand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
192 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -4 0
193 Avenir Sportif de Gouzon 1 0 0 1 -4 0
194 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -4 0
195 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -4 0
196 Thionville Lusitanos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
197 GSA Tomblaine 1 0 0 1 -5 0
198 OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys 1 0 0 1 -5 0
199 US Chateau-Malo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
200 Le Cellier Mauves 1 0 0 1 -6 0
201 Camon 1 0 0 1 -7 0
202 Stade Quimperlois 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.