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LaLiga2

Referee: G Etayo

Ceuta

U S S T T

3–1

Full-time

Cultural Leonesa

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Cultural Leonesa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 37%

41%

32%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

50%

45%

Both score Ø 46%

50%

41%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,03 xG 0,82

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 14

10 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ceuta 11. · Cultural Leonesa 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	23	13	5	5	+18	+0.5	44
2	Castellon	23	11	6	6	+11	+3.0	39
3	Malaga	23	11	5	7	+9	+1.1	38
4	Las Palmas	23	10	8	5	+9	-0.4	38
5	La Coruna	23	10	7	6	+11	+2.7	37
6	Almeria	23	10	6	7	+8	+0.9	36
7	Sp Gijon	23	11	3	9	+2	+1.9	36
8	Cordoba	23	9	8	6	+3	+1.0	35
9	Burgos	23	10	5	8	+3	+3.1	35
10	Cadiz	23	9	7	7	+0	-1.0	34
11	Ceuta	22	9	5	8	-4	-6.3	32
12	Albacete	23	8	6	9	-6	+2.3	30
13	Leganes	23	7	8	8	+2	+5.1	29
14	Andorra	23	7	8	8	-5	+1.2	29
15	Valladolid	23	7	7	9	+0	+2.4	28
16	Eibar	23	7	7	9	-2	+0.5	28
17	Granada	23	5	11	7	-3	+0.1	26
18	Cultural Leonesa	22	7	4	11	-10	-7.8	25
19	Sociedad B	23	6	6	11	-4	-4.3	24
20	Huesca	23	6	6	11	-11	+0.4	24
21	Zaragoza	23	5	7	11	-14	-2.8	22
22	Mirandes	23	4	5	14	-17	-3.6	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malaga	12	7	4	1	+12	+1.7	25
2	Eibar	12	7	3	2	+10	+4.4	24
3	Santander	12	7	2	3	+13	+0.7	23
4	Castellon	11	7	2	2	+10	+1.5	23
5	Ceuta	11	7	1	3	+3	-1.2	22
6	Las Palmas	12	6	3	3	+8	+0.8	21
7	Sp Gijon	12	6	3	3	+4	+2.2	21
8	Almeria	11	6	2	3	+7	+2.5	20
9	Cadiz	12	6	2	4	+2	+1.3	20
10	Sociedad B	11	5	4	2	+5	-1.5	19
11	Burgos	12	5	4	3	+4	+3.6	19
12	La Coruna	11	4	4	3	+3	+2.4	16
13	Huesca	11	4	4	3	+0	+0.0	16
14	Cordoba	11	4	3	4	+0	-0.8	15
15	Andorra	11	3	5	3	+0	+1.3	14
16	Valladolid	12	3	4	5	+1	+3.1	13
17	Granada	12	2	7	3	+0	+2.5	13
18	Albacete	11	4	1	6	-7	+0.1	13
19	Leganes	11	3	3	5	+0	+5.0	12
20	Zaragoza	12	2	4	6	-10	+0.3	10
21	Cultural Leonesa	11	2	3	6	-7	+0.3	9
22	Mirandes	11	2	2	7	-10	-1.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	12	6	3	3	+8	+0.3	21
2	Santander	11	6	3	2	+5	-0.2	21
3	Cordoba	12	5	5	2	+3	+1.8	20
4	Leganes	12	4	5	3	+2	+0.1	17
5	Albacete	12	4	5	3	+1	+2.2	17
6	Las Palmas	11	4	5	2	+1	-1.1	17
7	Almeria	12	4	4	4	+1	-1.6	16
8	Castellon	12	4	4	4	+1	+1.5	16
9	Burgos	11	5	1	5	-1	-0.6	16
10	Cultural Leonesa	11	5	1	5	-3	-8.1	16
11	Valladolid	11	4	3	4	-1	-0.7	15
12	Sp Gijon	11	5	0	6	-2	-0.3	15
13	Andorra	12	4	3	5	-5	-0.2	15
14	Cadiz	11	3	5	3	-2	-2.3	14
15	Granada	11	3	4	4	-3	-2.4	13
16	Malaga	11	4	1	6	-3	-0.6	13
17	Zaragoza	11	3	3	5	-4	-3.1	12
18	Ceuta	11	2	4	5	-7	-5.1	10
19	Mirandes	12	2	3	7	-7	-2.3	9
20	Huesca	12	2	2	8	-11	+0.4	8
21	Sociedad B	12	1	2	9	-9	-2.8	5
22	Eibar	11	0	4	7	-12	-4.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.