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Ligue 2

Referee: M Lesage

Pau FC

S T T S T

3–3

Full-time

Rodez

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Rodez

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 35%

41%

29%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

59%

47%

Both score Ø 59%

53%

65%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

55% Possession 45%

24 Shots 5

12 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Pau FC 7. · Rodez 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	18	11	5	2	+15	38
2	St Etienne	17	9	3	5	+10	30
3	Le Mans	17	8	6	3	+5	30
4	Reims	17	8	5	4	+12	29
5	Red Star	17	8	5	4	+5	29
6	Dunkerque	17	7	6	4	+10	27
7	Pau FC	17	7	5	5	-2	26
8	Montpellier	17	7	4	6	+2	25
9	Guingamp	17	6	5	6	-5	23
10	Annecy	17	6	4	7	+3	22
11	Grenoble	17	5	6	6	-2	21
12	Rodez	17	5	6	6	-5	21
13	Clermont	17	4	7	6	-5	19
14	Amiens	17	5	3	9	-5	18
15	Nancy	17	5	3	9	-7	18
16	Boulogne	17	4	4	9	-8	16
17	Laval	17	3	6	8	-9	15
18	Bastia	16	1	5	10	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	10	8	1	1	+13	25
2	Le Mans	9	5	2	2	+3	17
3	Reims	8	5	1	2	+8	16
4	Dunkerque	9	4	3	2	+7	15
5	St Etienne	8	4	2	2	+10	14
6	Montpellier	9	4	2	3	+3	14
7	Grenoble	9	3	5	1	+1	14
8	Rodez	9	3	4	2	+1	13
9	Pau FC	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Red Star	8	3	3	2	-1	12
11	Guingamp	9	3	3	3	-4	12
12	Annecy	8	2	4	2	+3	10
13	Clermont	8	2	4	2	+0	10
14	Nancy	8	3	1	4	-1	10
15	Boulogne	9	2	1	6	-8	7
16	Amiens	8	1	2	5	-4	5
17	Bastia	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Laval	8	0	3	5	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	9	5	2	2	+6	17
2	St Etienne	9	5	1	3	+0	16
3	Reims	9	3	4	2	+4	13
4	Le Mans	8	3	4	1	+2	13
5	Troyes	8	3	4	1	+2	13
6	Amiens	9	4	1	4	-1	13
7	Pau FC	8	3	4	1	-1	13
8	Dunkerque	8	3	3	2	+3	12
9	Annecy	9	4	0	5	+0	12
10	Laval	9	3	3	3	-2	12
11	Guingamp	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Montpellier	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Boulogne	8	2	3	3	+0	9
14	Clermont	9	2	3	4	-5	9
15	Nancy	9	2	2	5	-6	8
16	Rodez	8	2	2	4	-6	8
17	Grenoble	8	2	1	5	-3	7
18	Bastia	9	0	3	6	-8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.