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Ligue 2
Referee: G Kubler
Laval
T U U T U
2–2
Full-time
Guingamp
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Laval Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 24%
12%
36%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
32%
64%
Both score Ø 48%
44%
52%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
19 Shots 18
11 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Laval 17. · Guingamp 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 25 14 6 5 +15 48
2 St Etienne 25 14 4 7 +15 46
3 Reims 25 11 9 5 +14 42
4 Le Mans 25 10 11 4 +6 41
5 Annecy 25 11 6 8 +9 39
6 Dunkerque 25 10 8 7 +14 38
7 Red Star 24 10 8 6 +5 38
8 Rodez 25 9 10 6 +0 37
9 Montpellier 25 10 5 10 +3 35
10 Guingamp 25 9 8 8 -1 35
11 Pau FC 25 9 7 9 -5 34
12 Grenoble 25 6 11 8 -5 29
13 Clermont 25 7 7 11 -4 28
14 Boulogne 25 7 6 12 -11 27
15 Nancy 25 7 6 12 -11 27
16 Amiens 25 6 5 14 -13 23
17 Laval 25 3 10 12 -16 19
18 Bastia 24 3 9 12 -15 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Laval Guingamp
1–0 M. Sellouki
36′
Trévis Dago 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–1
53′
S. Kielt 1–1
A. Sagna
59′
🟨 Tanguy Ahile
M. Houdayer 🔁
↦ T. Dago
65′
67′
🔁 A. Samoura
↦ S. Kielt
67′
🔁 F. Mbemba
↦ J. Hatchi
69′
A. Samoura 1–2
L. Mafouta
74′
🔁 Y. Demoncy
↦ A. Sagna
74′
🔁 T. Matondo
↦ T. Ahile
M. Tchokounte 🔁
↦ S. Sanna
82′
2–2 M. Sellouki
M. Houdayer
83′
86′
🟨 Alpha Sissoko
C. Mandouki 🔁
↦ T. Thomas
87′
E. Clavreul 🔁
↦ D. Mbayo
87′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Laval

4-4-2
30 M. Samassa G
22 C. Kouassi D
4 P. Ouaneh D
3 W. Bianda D
12 M. Commaret D
15 D. Mbayo M
8 T. Thomas M
6 S. Sanna M
9 M. Camara M
10 M. Sellouki F
11 T. Dago
Bench (7)
1 M. Hautbois
18 M. Tchokounte
23 Y. Tavares
14 C. Mandouki
24 S. Bane
31 M. Houdayer
20 E. Clavreul

Coach: Olivier Frapolli

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 A. Ortola G
22 A. Sissoko D
36 A. Demouchy D
18 S. Nair D
29 A. Abdallah D
11 A. Sagna M
39 T. Ahile M
4 D. Louiserre M
20 J. Hatchi M
27 S. Kielt F
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne
21 Y. Demoncy
2 E. Koffi
19 A. Samoura
37 T. Matondo
17 F. Mbemba
3 J. Matumona

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,39
U ✓
3,09
B
2,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,34
U2,5
1,54
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Kubler · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.