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Ligue 2

Referee: A Valnet

Pau FC

S S T T T

2–2

Full-time

Bastia

U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,5

1,0

Scored

1,7

0,2

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 25%

36%

13%

Points per game

1,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

68%

17%

Both score Ø 41%

56%

25%

Average goals

3,2

1,6

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%

7 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 11. · Bastia 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	25	14	6	5	+15	48
2	St Etienne	25	14	4	7	+15	46
3	Reims	25	11	9	5	+14	42
4	Le Mans	25	10	11	4	+6	41
5	Annecy	25	11	6	8	+9	39
6	Dunkerque	25	10	8	7	+14	38
7	Red Star	24	10	8	6	+5	38
8	Rodez	25	9	10	6	+0	37
9	Montpellier	25	10	5	10	+3	35
10	Guingamp	25	9	8	8	-1	35
11	Pau FC	25	9	7	9	-5	34
12	Grenoble	25	6	11	8	-5	29
13	Clermont	25	7	7	11	-4	28
14	Boulogne	25	7	6	12	-11	27
15	Nancy	25	7	6	12	-11	27
16	Amiens	25	6	5	14	-13	23
17	Laval	25	3	10	12	-16	19
18	Bastia	24	3	9	12	-15	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	13	10	1	2	+13	31
2	Reims	12	7	3	2	+10	24
3	St Etienne	12	7	2	3	+12	23
4	Le Mans	13	6	5	2	+4	23
5	Montpellier	13	6	3	4	+5	21
6	Dunkerque	13	5	5	3	+8	20
7	Annecy	12	5	5	2	+7	20
8	Guingamp	13	5	4	4	-1	19
9	Grenoble	13	4	7	2	-1	19
10	Rodez	12	4	6	2	+2	18
11	Red Star	12	4	5	3	-3	17
12	Clermont	12	4	4	4	+2	16
13	Pau FC	13	4	3	6	-5	15
14	Nancy	12	4	2	6	-5	14
15	Bastia	12	2	4	6	-9	10
16	Boulogne	12	3	1	8	-10	10
17	Amiens	13	2	3	8	-9	9
18	Laval	12	0	5	7	-10	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	13	7	2	4	+3	23
2	Red Star	12	6	3	3	+8	21
3	Annecy	13	6	1	6	+2	19
4	Pau FC	12	5	4	3	+0	19
5	Rodez	13	5	4	4	-2	19
6	Dunkerque	12	5	3	4	+6	18
7	Reims	13	4	6	3	+4	18
8	Le Mans	12	4	6	2	+2	18
9	Troyes	12	4	5	3	+2	17
10	Boulogne	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Guingamp	12	4	4	4	+0	16
12	Montpellier	12	4	2	6	-2	14
13	Amiens	12	4	2	6	-4	14
14	Laval	13	3	5	5	-6	14
15	Nancy	13	3	4	6	-6	13
16	Clermont	13	3	3	7	-6	12
17	Grenoble	12	2	4	6	-4	10
18	Bastia	12	1	5	6	-6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.