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Ligue 2
Referee: Faouzi Benchabane
Guingamp
S U U T U
2–0
Full-time
Laval
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Laval
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,3
Scored
1,5
0,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 21%
33%
9%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
67%
27%
Both score Ø 52%
58%
45%
Average goals
3,3
1,9
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 10. · Laval 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 12 8 3 1 +13 27
2 St Etienne 12 7 2 3 +10 23
3 Red Star 12 7 2 3 +5 23
4 Pau FC 12 6 3 3 -1 21
5 Reims 12 5 4 3 +5 19
6 Montpellier 12 5 3 4 +2 18
7 Le Mans 12 4 5 3 +1 17
8 Dunkerque 12 4 4 4 +7 16
9 Rodez 12 4 4 4 -3 16
10 Guingamp 12 4 4 4 -4 16
11 Annecy 12 4 3 5 +1 15
12 Amiens 12 4 3 5 -2 15
13 Nancy 12 4 3 5 -3 15
14 Clermont 12 3 5 4 -4 14
15 Grenoble 12 2 5 5 -3 11
16 Boulogne 12 3 1 8 -9 10
17 Laval 11 1 6 4 -5 9
18 Bastia 11 0 4 7 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Laval
1–0 A. Sagna
K. Sidibe
32′
2–0 K. Sidibe
D. Ourega
38′
Albin Demouchy 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
56′
🔁 L. Samb
↦ Y. Aradj
57′
🟨 William Bianda
G. Ott 🔁
↦ D. Ourega
68′
S. Kielt 🔁
↦ L. Mafouta
68′
70′
🔁 M. Tchokounte
↦ M. Sellouki
T. Ahile 🔁
↦ A. Hemia
78′
Kalidou Sidibé 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 T. Pellenard
↦ W. Bianda
82′
🔁 J. Maggiotti
↦ E. Montet
82′
🔁 N. Mupemba
↦ E. Clavreul
D. N'Landu 🔁
↦ K. Sidibe
85′
J. Hatchi 🔁
↦ A. Sagna
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne G
22 A. Sissoko D
7 D. Gomis D
36 A. Demouchy D
29 A. Abdallah D
11 A. Sagna M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibe M
23 D. Ourega M
10 A. Hemia F
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
40 N. Marec
2 E. Koffi
6 D. N'Landu
24 G. Ott
39 T. Ahile
20 J. Hatchi
27 S. Kielt

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Laval

5-4-1
30 M. Samassa G
7 T. Vargas D
4 P. Ouaneh D
14 C. Mandouki D
3 W. Bianda D
21 Y. Aradj D
10 M. Sellouki M
6 S. Sanna M
25 E. Montet M
20 E. Clavreul M
9 M. Camara F
Bench (7)
1 M. Hautbois
2 T. Pellenard
35 L. Samb
26 W. Benard
28 J. Maggiotti
22 N. Mupemba
18 M. Tchokounte

Coach: Olivier Frapolli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
U
3,27
B
3,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.