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Ligue 2
Referee: F Batta
Amiens
T U T T T
3–4
Full-time
Le Mans
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Le Mans
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
56%
37%
Both score Ø 54%
56%
52%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 22
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 16. · Le Mans 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 27 16 6 5 +17 54
2 St Etienne 27 15 5 7 +17 50
3 Le Mans 27 12 11 4 +11 47
4 Reims 27 11 10 6 +13 43
5 Rodez 27 11 10 6 +2 43
6 Montpellier 27 12 5 10 +8 41
7 Red Star 26 11 8 7 +4 41
8 Dunkerque 27 10 9 8 +13 39
9 Annecy 27 11 6 10 +5 39
10 Guingamp 27 10 9 8 +0 39
11 Pau FC 27 10 8 9 -4 38
12 Boulogne 27 9 6 12 -8 33
13 Grenoble 27 6 12 9 -6 30
14 Clermont 27 7 7 13 -6 28
15 Nancy 27 7 6 14 -16 27
16 Amiens 27 6 5 16 -16 23
17 Laval 27 3 11 13 -18 20
18 Bastia 26 3 10 13 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Dec -25 Le Mans – Amiens 1–0

Match report

Amiens Le Mans
2′
A. Rabillard 0–1
Amine Chabane 🟨
10′
13′
S. Yohou 0–2
18′
🟨 Lucas Bretelle
1–2 A. Leautey
N. Kandil
27′
31′
L. Bretelle 1–3
L. Buades
38′
🔁 D. Gueye
↦ A. Rabillard
2–3 I. Sane
45′
Half-time 2–3
46′
🔁 A. Bourabaa
↦ L. Bretelle
3–3 N. Kandil
54′
Ibrahim Fofana 🟨
56′
57′
🟨 Harold Voyer
T. Averlant 🔁
↦ R. Lutin
60′
Kylian Kaiboue 🟨
69′
71′
🔁 M. Rossignol
↦ M. Robin
C. Louis 🔁
↦ K. Kaiboue
76′
S. Ntamack 🔁
↦ I. Sane
76′
Ibrahim Fofana 🟨
83′
Ibrahim Fofana 🟥
83′
83′
🟨 Alexandre Lauray
I. Hamache 🔁
↦ A. Leautey
84′
J. Mlakar 🔁
↦ N. Kandil
85′
85′
🔁 W. Harhouz
85′
🔁 I. Cossier
↦ H. Voyer
90′
I. Cossier 3–4
Thomas Monconduit 🟨
96′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Amiens

4-4-2
40 P. Bernardoni G
39 A. Chabane D
34 S. Bakayoko D
28 A. Lo D
20 K. Kaiboue D
10 N. Kandil M
6 T. Monconduit M
45 I. Fofana M
14 A. Leautey M
27 R. Lutin F
29 I. Sane F
Bench (7)
16 A. Sauvage
11 T. Averlant
44 C. Louis
9 J. Mlakar
7 I. Hamache
90 S. Ntamack
46 O. Aissat

Coach: Julien Ielsch

Le Mans

3-1-4-2
98 N. Kocik G
31 N. Boisse D
17 S. Yohou D
5 H. Voyer D
8 A. Lauray M
18 L. Buades M
29 L. Bretelle
24 M. Robin M
22 L. Calodat M
9 A. Rabillard F
28 E. Colas F
Bench (7)
1 E. Hatfout
12 A. Ribelin
25 D. Gueye
20 W. Harhouz
3 I. Cossier
11 A. Bourabaa
27 M. Rossignol

Coach: Patrick Videira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,46
U
3,29
B ✓
2,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.