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LaLiga2
Referee: M H De Aza
Huesca
S T T U T
1–3
Full-time
Almeria
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huesca Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 39%
27%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
40%
70%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
70%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Huesca 19. · Almeria 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 30 18 5 7 +22 -2.5 59
2 Almeria 30 15 7 8 +14 +2.2 52
3 La Coruna 30 15 7 8 +12 +2.4 52
4 Malaga 30 15 6 9 +12 +2.6 51
5 Castellon 30 14 7 9 +12 +3.7 49
6 Las Palmas 30 12 12 6 +15 +2.8 48
7 Burgos 30 13 8 9 +6 +2.9 47
8 Sp Gijon 30 13 6 11 +4 +1.1 45
9 Ceuta 30 13 5 12 -8 -7.8 44
10 Eibar 30 11 9 10 +2 +4.9 42
11 Cordoba 30 11 8 11 -2 +3.4 41
12 Sociedad B 30 11 7 12 +3 -6.2 40
13 Andorra 30 10 9 11 -4 +2.7 39
14 Albacete 30 10 9 11 -5 +1.8 39
15 Cadiz 30 10 8 12 -5 -4.7 38
16 Granada 30 8 12 10 +1 +0.7 36
17 Valladolid 30 9 9 12 -8 +2.5 36
18 Leganes 30 8 10 12 -1 +3.2 34
19 Huesca 30 8 7 15 -13 +0.1 31
20 Zaragoza 30 7 9 14 -15 -1.9 30
21 Cultural Leonesa 30 7 6 17 -21 -9.6 27
22 Mirandes 30 6 6 18 -21 -4.3 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huesca Almeria
11′
Leo Baptistao 0–1
1–1 D. Ojeda
J. Seoane
23′
29′
ℹ️ Miguel de la Fuente
VAR: Penalty confirmed
33′
S. Arribas 1–2
38′
🟨 Marcos Luna
43′
🟨 Miguel de la Fuente
Half-time 1–2
56′
ℹ️ Léo Baptistão
VAR: Card upgrade
57′
🟥 Léo Baptistão
S. Enrich 🔁
↦ F. Portillo
63′
Jordi Martín 🟨
64′
A. Cantero 🔁
↦ A. Carrillo
71′
D. Luna 🔁
↦ D. Ojeda
71′
71′
🔁 P. Soko
↦ M. de la Fuente
73′
D. Lopy 1–3
P. Soko
J. Mier 🔁
↦ I. Laquintana
81′
R. Abajas 🔁
↦ J. Martin
81′
81′
🔁 A. Puigmal
↦ S. Arribas
81′
🔁 D. Chirino
↦ M. Luna
91′
🔁 N. Melamed
↦ A. Embarba
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Huesca

4-2-3-1
13 D. Jimenez G
4 A. Carrillo D
5 Pina D
14 J. Pulido D
8 J. Martin D
10 J. Seoane M
23 O. Sielva M
19 I. Laquintana M
20 F. Portillo M
21 D. Ojeda M
7 J. Escobar F
Bench (10)
1 Perez Juan
30 D. Martin
9 S. Enrich
17 J. Alonso
22 M. Agbekpornu
6 J. Mier
3 R. Abajas
24 E. Aghama
15 A. Cantero
33 D. Luna

Coach: Luis Oltra Castaner Jose

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
16 M. Luna D
5 Rodrigo Ely D
18 F. Bonini D
3 A. Munoz D
29 S. Dzodic M
17 D. Lopy M
12 Leo Baptistao M
11 S. Arribas M
23 A. Embarba M
24 M. de la Fuente F
Bench (12)
31 B. Iribarne
21 Chumi
2 A. Puigmal
22 D. Chirino
9 Thalys
4 N. Monte
6 A. Horta
14 I. Baba
7 J. Morcillo
19 P. Soko
20 A. Centelles
10 N. Melamed

Coach: Joan Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,34
U
3,22
B ✓
2,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M H De Aza · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.