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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Kos
Motor Lublin
T S S U S
1–0
Full-time
Zaglebie
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Zaglebie
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 38%
32%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 60%
64%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,48 xG 0,39
47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 14
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motor Lublin 11. · Zaglebie 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zaglebie 25 11 8 6 +11 -3.2 41
2 Jagiellonia 25 11 8 6 +10 -1.8 41
3 Lech Poznan 25 11 8 6 +6 +17.8 41
4 Gornik Zabrze 25 11 5 9 +4 -4.4 38
5 Rakow 25 11 4 10 +2 +7.7 37
6 Lechia Gdansk 25 10 6 9 +2 +2.8 36
7 Wisla Plock 25 9 9 7 +2 -0.4 36
8 GKS Katowice 25 11 3 11 +1 -7.5 36
9 Piast Gliwice 26 10 5 11 -1 -3.6 35
10 Pogon Szczecin 25 10 4 11 -3 +9.6 34
11 Motor Lublin 25 8 10 7 -4 -6.7 34
12 Radomiak Radom 26 8 9 9 +2 -1.2 33
13 Cracovia 25 8 9 8 +2 +3.6 33
14 Korona Kielce 25 9 6 10 +1 -5.4 33
15 Arka Gdynia 25 8 6 11 -16 -6.4 30
16 Legia 25 6 11 8 -1 +0.2 29
17 Widzew Lodz 25 8 4 13 -3 +4.9 28
18 Nieciecza 25 5 7 13 -15 -5.9 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motor Lublin Zaglebie
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Ndiaye
K. Czubak
52′
62′
🔁 J. Sypek
↦ J. Diaz
62′
🔁 J. Kolan
↦ S. Kowalczyk
62′
🔁 L. Szabo
↦ A. Radwanski
J. Labojko 🔁
↦ S. Samper
68′
B. van Hoeven 🔁
↦ Fabio Ronaldo
68′
B. Ede 🔁
↦ F. Luberecki
76′
76′
🔁 M. Mlinaric
↦ M. Regula
76′
🔁 M. Kosidis
↦ F. Kocaba
T. Santos 🔁
↦ M. Ndiaye
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Motor Lublin

4-1-4-1
1 I. Brkic G
17 F. Wojcik D
39 M. Bartos D
3 H. Matthys D
24 F. Luberecki D
6 S. Samper M
30 M. Ndiaye M
7 I. Rodrigues M
68 B. Wolski M
11 Fabio Ronaldo M
9 K. Czubak F
Bench (11)
33 G. Tratnik
21 J. Labojko
29 T. Santos
2 P. Meyer
42 B. Ede
16 F. Lewandowski
26 M. Krol
19 B. van Hoeven
23 F. Haxha
10 K. Karasek
13 K. Brzozowski

Coach: Mateusz Stolarski

Zaglebie

4-2-3-1
1 J. Buric G
16 J. Corluka D
31 I. Orlikowski D
4 D. Michalski D
35 L. Lucic D
39 F. Kocaba M
8 D. Dabrowski M
18 A. Radwanski M
7 S. Kowalczyk M
27 J. Diaz M
44 M. Regula F
Bench (11)
12 R. Gikiewicz
19 J. Sypek
88 M. Mlinaric
26 J. Kolan
20 M. Dziewiatowski
84 J. Ligocki
11 A. Wozniak
17 L. Szabo
9 M. Kosidis
99 C. Popielec
94 M. Urbanski

Coach: Leszek Ojrzynski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Kos · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.