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Ligue 2
Referee: Faouzi Benchabane
Rodez
S U S T S
2–2
Full-time
Pau FC
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
4,3
1,0
Scored
2,7
0,3
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
21 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 3. · Pau FC 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 3 3 0 0 +9 9
2 Montpellier 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Rodez 3 2 0 1 +3 6
4 Annecy 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Reims 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Metz 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Red Star 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Dunkerque 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Nancy 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Laval 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Sochaux 3 1 1 1 -2 4
12 Guingamp 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Pau FC 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Dijon 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Boulogne 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Clermont 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Grenoble 3 0 1 2 -6 1
18 Nantes 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Pau FC
2′
B. Leye 0–1
J. Benet
Raphaël Lipinski 🟨
3′
1–1 I. Balde
R. Lipinski
28′
37′
B. Leye 1–2
A. Briancon
Half-time 1–2
48′
🟨 Hacene Benali
59′
🔁 S. Basse
↦ A. Abdallah
59′
🔁 A. Lefebvre
↦ B. Leye
E. Jean-Lambert 🔁
↦ R. Ponti
64′
S. Luyambula 🔁
↦ C. Issanchou
64′
K. Nagera 🔁
↦ M. Touho
64′
64′
🔁 L. Gadegbeku
↦ L. Rajot
68′
🔁 G. Paquiez
↦ A. Briancon
68′
🔁 A. Mbaye
↦ H. Benali
Loni Laurent 🟨
70′
O. Joly 🔁
↦ D. Pavlovic
72′
2–2 O. Joly
M. Magnin
83′
N. Nsingi 🔁
↦ L. Laurent
85′
Mathis Magnin 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2
16 L. Margueron G
13 C. Issanchou D
24 L. Laurent
4 M. Magnin D
3 R. Lipinski D
20 R. Ponti D
6 J. Mendes M
8 D. Pavlovic M
29 A. Cartillier
18 I. Balde F
11 M. Touho F
Bench (8)
30 E. Crombez
15 E. Jean-Lambert
17 D. Vangi
28 S. Luyambula
22 O. Joly
26 S. Benchamma
7 K. Nagera
9 N. Nsingi

Coach: Didier Santini

Pau FC

5-3-2
1 B. Maubleu G
2 T. Pouilly D
4 A. Dodote D
88 A. Bamba D
23 A. Briancon D
97 A. Abdallah D
6 C. Fall M
21 J. Benet M
5 L. Rajot M
7 H. Benali F
9 B. Leye F
Bench (9)
30 E. Salles
29 G. Paquiez
39 M. Tourraine
8 S. Basse
27 L. Gadegbeku
11 A. Lefebvre
19 T. Saettel
14 R. Openda
56 A. Mbaye

Coach: Thierry Debes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,65
U ✓
3,88
B
4,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.