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Championship

Referee: Robert Jones

Wrexham

T U T U U

1–2

Full-time

Birmingham

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wrexham Birmingham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,42 xG 1,62

62% Possession 38%

9 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wrexham 15. · Birmingham 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Millwall	2	2	0	0	+5	+4.5	6
2	West Brom	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.7	6
3	Charlton	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.2	6
4	Wolves	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.1	4
5	QPR	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.5	4
6	Blackburn	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.7	4
7	Watford	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.2	4
8	Swansea	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
9	Bolton	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.7	4
10	Southampton	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.3	3
11	Portsmouth	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
12	Middlesbrough	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.2	3
13	Cardiff	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
14	Birmingham	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.0	2
15	Wrexham	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.8	2
16	Sheffield United	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.4	2
17	West Ham	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.2	1
18	Derby	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
19	Burnley	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.5	1
20	Bristol City	2	0	1	1	-2	-3.4	1
21	Stoke	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0
22	Lincoln	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.6	0
23	Preston	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.9	0
24	Norwich	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
2	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
3	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
4	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
5	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
6	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
7	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
8	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
9	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
10	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
11	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
12	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
13	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
14	Wrexham	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
15	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
16	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
17	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
18	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
19	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	+2.2	0
20	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
21	Preston	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
22	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.1	0
23	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.1	0
24	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
2	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.1	3
3	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.1	3
4	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
5	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
6	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+1	-2.2	3
7	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
8	West Ham	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
9	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
11	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
12	Wrexham	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
13	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
14	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
15	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
16	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
17	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
18	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
19	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
20	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
21	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
22	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
23	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
24	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.