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Primeira Liga

Referee: Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa

Rio Ave

T U T T S

0–4

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

17%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

0,7

2,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,7

4,3

Scored

0,7

2,7

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

0,47 xG 1,66

39% Possession 61%

6 Shots 14

0 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 10. · Sp Lisbon 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+6	+4.7	9
2	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.1	7
3	Maritimo	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.1	7
4	Santa Clara	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.5	7
5	Arouca	3	2	0	1	+3	-2.5	6
6	Gil Vicente	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.5	6
7	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+7	+5.0	4
8	Nacional	3	1	1	1	+1	-2.1	4
9	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	+4.7	3
10	Rio Ave	3	1	0	2	-1	-3.3	3
11	Estrela	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
12	Academico Viseu	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.5	2
13	Famalicao	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.8	1
14	Alverca	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.1	1
15	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.8	1
16	Estoril	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.1	1
17	Casa Pia	3	0	0	3	-10	-4.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.4	6
2	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.6	6
3	Gil Vicente	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.5	6
4	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
5	Maritimo	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
6	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
7	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
8	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	+4.6	3
9	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.4	1
10	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
11	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
12	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
13	Estoril	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.0	1
14	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
15	Academico Viseu	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
16	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
17	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-7	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+7	+2.7	3
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
3	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
4	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.9	3
5	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
6	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-1	-4.2	3
7	Academico Viseu	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.8	2
8	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
9	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
10	Nacional	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.2	1
11	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.1	1
12	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
13	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
14	Casa Pia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
15	Alverca	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.7	0
16	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.