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Serie B

Spezia

U U T S U

2–0

Full-time

Livorno

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Livorno

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 25%

29%

21%

Points per game

1,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

50%

36%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

43%

Average goals

2,6

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 21

5 Shots on target 6

2 Corners 6

13 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 16. · Livorno 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	15	10	4	1	+17	34
2	Crotone	14	6	4	4	+6	22
3	Pordenone	14	6	4	4	+4	22
4	Cittadella	14	6	4	4	+0	22
5	Perugia	14	6	4	4	-1	22
6	Ascoli	14	6	3	5	+5	21
7	Chievo	14	5	6	3	+3	21
8	Pescara	14	6	2	6	+3	20
9	Pisa	14	5	5	4	+3	20
10	Frosinone	14	5	5	4	+3	20
11	Salernitana	14	5	4	5	-1	19
12	Virtus Entella	14	5	4	5	-1	19
13	Empoli	14	4	6	4	-3	18
14	Venezia	14	4	5	5	-2	17
15	Cremonese	14	4	5	5	-6	17
16	Spezia	14	4	4	6	-1	16
17	Juve Stabia	14	4	2	8	-9	14
18	Cosenza	14	2	7	5	-1	13
19	Trapani	15	3	4	8	-12	13
20	Livorno	14	3	2	9	-7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Frosinone	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Pordenone	7	5	2	0	+10	17
4	Ascoli	7	5	1	1	+7	16
5	Crotone	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Pisa	7	4	2	1	+6	14
7	Perugia	7	4	2	1	+4	14
8	Virtus Entella	7	4	2	1	+3	14
9	Empoli	7	3	3	1	+4	12
10	Chievo	6	3	3	0	+4	12
11	Pescara	7	3	2	2	+5	11
12	Cremonese	7	3	2	2	+0	11
13	Cittadella	7	3	2	2	-1	11
14	Salernitana	7	2	4	1	+1	10
15	Juve Stabia	7	3	1	3	-2	10
16	Livorno	7	3	0	4	-1	9
17	Spezia	7	2	2	3	+0	8
18	Cosenza	7	1	4	2	+0	7
19	Venezia	7	2	1	4	-4	7
20	Trapani	7	1	3	3	-2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	7	3	3	1	+1	12
2	Cittadella	7	3	2	2	+1	11
3	Venezia	7	2	4	1	+2	10
4	Chievo	8	2	3	3	-1	9
5	Pescara	7	3	0	4	-2	9
6	Salernitana	7	3	0	4	-2	9
7	Spezia	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	Perugia	7	2	2	3	-5	8
9	Crotone	6	2	1	3	+0	7
10	Trapani	8	2	1	5	-10	7
11	Cosenza	7	1	3	3	-1	6
12	Pisa	7	1	3	3	-3	6
13	Cremonese	7	1	3	3	-6	6
14	Empoli	7	1	3	3	-7	6
15	Ascoli	7	1	2	4	-2	5
16	Virtus Entella	7	1	2	4	-4	5
17	Pordenone	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Juve Stabia	7	1	1	5	-7	4
19	Frosinone	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Livorno	7	0	2	5	-6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.