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Serie B

Benevento

S U S S S

3–1

Full-time

Spezia

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,3

This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 58%

72%

44%

Points per game

2,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

32%

48%

Both score Ø 44%

36%

52%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

13 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 5

7 Corners 2

14 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Benevento 1. · Spezia 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	25	18	6	1	+32	60
2	Crotone	26	13	4	9	+11	43
3	Frosinone	25	12	7	6	+11	43
4	Spezia	25	11	8	6	+10	41
5	Salernitana	25	11	6	8	+4	39
6	Cittadella	25	11	6	8	+4	39
7	Chievo	25	9	10	6	+6	37
8	Pordenone	25	10	6	9	-1	36
9	Empoli	25	9	9	7	-1	36
10	Virtus Entella	26	9	8	9	-1	35
11	Perugia	25	9	6	10	-6	33
12	Pescara	25	9	5	11	-1	32
13	Juve Stabia	25	9	5	11	-9	32
14	Ascoli	24	9	4	11	-1	31
15	Venezia	25	7	10	8	-3	31
16	Pisa	25	7	9	9	-1	30
17	Cremonese	24	6	8	10	-5	26
18	Cosenza	25	5	8	12	-3	23
19	Trapani	25	4	8	13	-24	20
20	Livorno	25	3	5	17	-22	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	13	10	3	0	+22	33
2	Frosinone	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	Crotone	13	8	3	2	+13	27
4	Pordenone	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Salernitana	12	7	4	1	+9	25
6	Empoli	13	6	6	1	+8	24
7	Spezia	13	7	3	3	+7	24
8	Ascoli	11	7	2	2	+8	23
9	Virtus Entella	13	6	4	3	+2	22
10	Juve Stabia	13	7	1	5	+0	22
11	Chievo	12	6	3	3	+6	21
12	Perugia	13	6	3	4	+2	21
13	Cremonese	12	5	4	3	+5	19
14	Cittadella	13	5	3	5	-1	18
15	Pescara	13	4	5	4	+4	17
16	Pisa	13	4	5	4	+1	17
17	Trapani	12	2	5	5	-5	11
18	Cosenza	12	2	4	6	-4	10
19	Venezia	12	2	4	6	-6	10
20	Livorno	12	3	1	8	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	12	8	3	1	+10	27
2	Cittadella	12	6	3	3	+5	21
3	Venezia	13	5	6	2	+3	21
4	Spezia	12	4	5	3	+3	17
5	Chievo	13	3	7	3	+0	16
6	Crotone	13	5	1	7	-2	16
7	Frosinone	13	4	4	5	-3	16
8	Pescara	12	5	0	7	-5	15
9	Salernitana	13	4	2	7	-5	14
10	Cosenza	13	3	4	6	+1	13
11	Pisa	12	3	4	5	-2	13
12	Virtus Entella	13	3	4	6	-3	13
13	Perugia	12	3	3	6	-8	12
14	Empoli	12	3	3	6	-9	12
15	Juve Stabia	12	2	4	6	-9	10
16	Pordenone	12	2	3	7	-11	9
17	Trapani	13	2	3	8	-19	9
18	Ascoli	13	2	2	9	-9	8
19	Cremonese	12	1	4	7	-10	7
20	Livorno	13	0	4	9	-11	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.