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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Amiens
U U T U U
0–1
Full-time
Metz
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 19%
15%
23%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
62%
35%
Both score Ø 58%
69%
46%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 19. · Metz 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 27 22 2 3 +51 68
2 Marseille 27 16 7 4 +12 55
3 Rennes 26 13 5 8 +7 44
4 Lille 26 13 4 9 +6 43
5 Monaco 26 11 6 9 +1 39
6 Strasbourg 26 11 5 10 +3 38
7 Lyon 26 10 7 9 +14 37
8 Reims 26 9 10 7 +4 37
9 Montpellier 26 10 7 9 +3 37
10 Nice 26 10 7 9 +2 37
11 Nantes 26 11 4 11 +0 37
12 Bordeaux 26 9 8 9 +6 35
13 Brest 26 8 10 8 -1 34
14 Angers 26 9 6 11 -8 33
15 St Etienne 26 8 5 13 -14 29
16 Metz 26 6 10 10 -10 28
17 Dijon 27 6 9 12 -11 27
18 Nimes 27 7 6 14 -14 27
19 Amiens 26 4 10 12 -18 22
20 Toulouse 26 3 4 19 -33 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Metz
18′
🟨 John Boye
26′
F. Boulaya 0–1
V. Pajot
Half-time 0–1
S. Ghoddos 🔁
↦ F. Otero
46′
Alexis Blin 🟨
59′
B. Zungu 🔁
↦ A. Blin
63′
Bongani Zungu 🟨
67′
I. Mbenza 🔁
↦ F. Diabaté
75′
76′
🔁 O. Nguette
↦ T. Ambrose
85′
🔁 V. Angban
↦ F. Boulaya
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
13 C. Jallet D
27 A. Chedjou D
14 H. Aleesami D
4 N. Opoku D
10 G. Kakuta M
6 T. Monconduit M
17 A. Blin M
15 M. Konaté F
28 F. Diabaté M
11 F. Otero M
Bench (7)
7 S. Ghoddos
8 B. Zungu
21 I. Mbenza
22 M. Talal
16 M. Dreyer
3 A. Calabresi
19 C. Akolo

Coach: L. Elsner

Metz

4-3-3
16 A. Oukidja G
21 J. Boye D
17 T. Delaine D
2 D. Bronn D
18 F. Centonze D
14 V. Pajot M
27 F. Boulaya F
19 H. Maïga M
4 K. N'Doram M
9 T. Ambrose F
7 I. Niane F
Bench (7)
11 O. Nguette
5 V. Angban
1 P. Delecroix
25 Noss Traoré
6 M. Fofana
26 P. Yade
24 R. Cohade

Coach: V. Hognon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,09
U
3,14
B ✓
3,90
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,59
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.