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Eredivisie

Referee: Joey Kooij

Twente

U S T S T

2–3

Full-time

Heerenveen

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

1,8

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

63%

58%

Both score Ø 69%

58%

79%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

14 Shots 20

8 Shots on target 11

1 Blocked shots 4

8 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 8

0 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 14. · Heerenveen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	23	17	2	4	+45	53
2	AZ Alkmaar	23	16	2	5	+31	50
3	Feyenoord	23	13	7	3	+13	46
4	PSV Eindhoven	24	13	6	5	+25	45
5	Willem II	25	13	5	7	+5	44
6	Utrecht	23	11	5	7	+13	38
7	Vitesse	25	11	5	9	+9	38
8	Groningen	25	10	5	10	+2	35
9	Heracles	25	9	6	10	+4	33
10	Heerenveen	24	7	9	8	+1	30
11	Sparta Rotterdam	24	8	6	10	-4	30
12	FC Emmen	24	8	5	11	-12	29
13	VVV Venlo	25	8	4	13	-24	28
14	Twente	24	7	6	11	-10	27
15	Zwolle	25	7	4	14	-18	25
16	For Sittard	25	6	7	12	-23	25
17	Den Haag	25	4	7	14	-25	19
18	Waalwijk	24	3	3	18	-32	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	11	0	1	+34	33
2	AZ Alkmaar	12	9	1	2	+20	28
3	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+12	27
4	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	2	1	+20	26
5	FC Emmen	12	8	2	2	+11	26
6	Willem II	13	7	4	2	+8	25
7	Heracles	12	7	1	4	+12	22
8	Groningen	12	7	1	4	+8	22
9	Utrecht	11	7	0	4	+14	21
10	Sparta Rotterdam	12	6	3	3	+10	21
11	Vitesse	12	6	3	3	+8	21
12	For Sittard	12	6	3	3	+5	21
13	Twente	12	5	3	4	+2	18
14	VVV Venlo	13	5	3	5	-7	18
15	Heerenveen	13	3	8	2	+1	17
16	Zwolle	12	5	2	5	-2	17
17	Den Haag	13	2	6	5	-6	12
18	Waalwijk	12	2	2	8	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	1	3	+11	22
2	Ajax	11	6	2	3	+11	20
3	PSV Eindhoven	13	5	4	4	+5	19
4	Feyenoord	11	5	4	2	+1	19
5	Willem II	12	6	1	5	-3	19
6	Vitesse	13	5	2	6	+1	17
7	Utrecht	12	4	5	3	-1	17
8	Heerenveen	11	4	1	6	+0	13
9	Groningen	13	3	4	6	-6	13
10	Heracles	13	2	5	6	-8	11
11	VVV Venlo	12	3	1	8	-17	10
12	Twente	12	2	3	7	-12	9
13	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	3	7	-14	9
14	Zwolle	13	2	2	9	-16	8
15	Den Haag	12	2	1	9	-19	7
16	Waalwijk	12	1	1	10	-24	4
17	For Sittard	13	0	4	9	-28	4
18	FC Emmen	12	0	3	9	-23	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.