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Serie B

Alessandria

T T T T

1–3

Full-time

Ascoli

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alessandria Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

75%

33%

Both score Ø 46%

75%

17%

Average goals

4,5

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

3,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

0,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

75%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

4,5

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

18 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 6

14 Corners 3

9 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alessandria 18. · Ascoli 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Brescia	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Cremonese	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Frosinone	5	2	3	0	+4	9
5	Cittadella	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Ascoli	4	3	0	1	+1	9
7	Reggina	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Parma	4	2	1	1	+4	7
9	Benevento	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Monza	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Perugia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Lecce	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Spal	4	1	1	2	+3	4
14	Cosenza	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Crotone	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Como	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Ternana	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Alessandria	4	0	0	4	-6	0
19	Vicenza	4	0	0	4	-6	0
20	Pordenone	4	0	0	4	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cittadella	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Reggina	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Pisa	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Spal	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Lecce	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Benevento	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Monza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Frosinone	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Parma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Crotone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Perugia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Alessandria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Como	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Vicenza	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Ternana	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Pordenone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Pisa	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Frosinone	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Ascoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Parma	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Perugia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Benevento	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Como	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Monza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Reggina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Ternana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Crotone	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Cosenza	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Spal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Vicenza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Alessandria	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Pordenone	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.