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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
For Sittard
T S U T T
0–5
Full-time
Ajax
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
4,5
Scored
1,5
4,2
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+3,8
This season — Eredivisie · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 53%
25%
80%
Points per game
1,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
75%
60%
Both score Ø 48%
75%
20%
Average goals
3,0
4,6
Scored
1,3
4,4
Conceded
1,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+4,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

40% Possession 60%
6 Shots 25
1 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 15. · Ajax 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 5 4 1 0 +21 13
2 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 0 1 +7 12
3 Heerenveen 4 3 1 0 +3 10
4 Willem II 5 3 1 1 +1 10
5 Feyenoord 4 3 0 1 +8 9
6 Utrecht 5 2 2 1 +5 8
7 Nijmegen 5 2 2 1 -2 8
8 Twente 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 0 3 -3 6
10 Cambuur 5 2 0 3 -8 6
11 Vitesse 5 2 0 3 -9 6
12 Waalwijk 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -3 5
14 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 -4 5
15 For Sittard 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Heracles 4 1 1 2 -2 4
17 AZ Alkmaar 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Zwolle 5 0 0 5 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard Ajax
S. Baghdadi 🔁
↦ M. Tirpan
8′
11′
S. Berghuis 0–1
27′
N. Mazraoui 0–2
S. Haller
38′
D. Tadić 0–3
D. Blind
Half-time 0–3
46′
🔁 M. Kudus
↦ S. Berghuis
Roel Janssen 🟨
49′
65′
🔁 N. Tagliafico
↦ L. Martínez
65′
🔁 M. Daramy
↦ S. Haller
T. Lake 🔁
↦ B. Sambou
72′
72′
M. Kudus 0–4
D. Tadić
75′
🔁 K. Taylor
↦ R. Gravenberch
77′
N. Tagliafico 0–5
D. Tadić
R. Musaba 🔁
↦ B. Rienstra
81′
N. Lonwijk 🔁
↦ G. Cox
81′
T. Noslin 🔁
↦ E. Hansson
81′
81′
🔁 Danilo
↦ D. Tadić
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-3-3
1 Y. van Osch G
4 R. Janssen D
2 M. Angha D
25 M. Tirpan D
35 G. Cox D
23 B. Rienstra M
10 M. Seuntjens F
14 T. Tekie M
6 D. Duarte M
11 E. Hansson F
45 B. Sambou F
Bench (11)
24 S. Baghdadi
39 T. Lake
29 R. Musaba
18 N. Lonwijk
77 T. Noslin
21 Y. Çeltik
30 R. van Kouwen
27 R. Pluijmen
28 R. Johansson
32 F. Dornebusch
48 S. Hogervorst

Coach: S. Ultee

Ajax

4-2-3-1
32 R. Pasveer G
17 D. Blind D
12 N. Mazraoui D
3 P. Schuurs D
21 L. Martínez D
4 E. Álvarez M
8 R. Gravenberch M
10 D. Tadić M
23 S. Berghuis M
22 S. Haller F
11 Antony M
Bench (11)
20 M. Kudus
31 N. Tagliafico
30 M. Daramy
25 K. Taylor
9 Danilo
2 J. Timber
19 Z. Labyad
26 V. Jensen
7 David Neres
16 J. Gorter
51 C. Setford

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
18,91
U
9,11
B ✓
1,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,26
U2,5
3,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.