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Serie B

Lecce

U T T U U

3–2

Full-time

Alessandria

T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Alessandria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

4,3

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,7

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

4,3

Scored

0,3

1,3

Conceded

1,3

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

24 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 4

10 Corners 1

9 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lecce 16. · Alessandria 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Pisa	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Ascoli	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Frosinone	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Parma	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Cittadella	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Reggina	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Monza	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Spal	3	1	1	1	+4	4
11	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Perugia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Crotone	4	0	3	1	-2	3
14	Cosenza	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Como	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Lecce	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Vicenza	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Alessandria	3	0	0	3	-5	0
19	Ternana	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Pordenone	3	0	0	3	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Cittadella	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Pisa	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Spal	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Benevento	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Reggina	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Parma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Crotone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Frosinone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Lecce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Alessandria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Como	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Ternana	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Pordenone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Frosinone	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Ascoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Parma	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Perugia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Como	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Monza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Reggina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Crotone	2	0	1	1	-2	1
11	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-3	1
12	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Vicenza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Alessandria	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Cosenza	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Pordenone	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.