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Serie A

Referee: M Fabbri

Fiorentina

U T S S S

1–3

Full-time

Inter

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

5,0

Scored

1,2

3,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,3

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 75%

75%

Points per game

2,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 88%

100%

75%

Average goals

3,3

4,8

Scored

1,8

3,8

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+2,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 5. · Inter 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Inter	4	3	1	0	+11	10
3	Milan	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Roma	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Fiorentina	4	3	0	1	+1	9
6	Bologna	5	2	2	1	-3	8
7	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+5	7
8	Atalanta	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Udinese	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Torino	4	2	0	2	+3	6
11	Sampdoria	4	1	2	1	+2	5
12	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Genoa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-5	4
15	Verona	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Venezia	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Juventus	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Cagliari	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	Salernitana	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bologna	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Roma	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+5	4
7	Udinese	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Torino	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Verona	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Empoli	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Inter	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Milan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Genoa	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-4	4
9	Roma	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Venezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-5	1
19	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.