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Championship
Referee: T Harrington
Middlesbrough
T U S S T
1–1
Full-time
West Brom
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Millwall 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Hull 1 1 0 0 +1 3
3 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Cardiff 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Burnley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Swansea 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Luton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Norwich 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough West Brom
1–0 I. Jones
10′
Jonathan Howson 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–1
51′
J. Swift 1–1
J. Wallace
Marc Bola 🟨
59′
61′
🟨 John Swift
J. Coburn 🔁
↦ C. Akpom
63′
M. Forss 🔁
↦ D. Watmore
63′
68′
🔁 G. Diangana
↦ M. Phillips
78′
🔁 D. Dike
↦ K. Ahearne-Grant
90′
🔁 A. Mowatt
↦ J. Molumby
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

3-5-2
1 Z. Steffen G
15 A. Dijksteel D
26 D. Lenihan D
27 M. Bola D
2 I. Jones M
25 M. Crooks M
16 J. Howson M
8 R. McGree M
3 R. Giles M
18 D. Watmore F
29 C. Akpom F
Bench (7)
19 J. Coburn
21 M. Forss
20 C. Boyd-Munce
14 T. Smith
23 L. Roberts
6 D. Fry
30 H. Hackney

Coach: C. Wilder

West Brom

4-2-3-1
1 D. Button G
2 D. Furlong D
6 S. Ajayi D
4 D. O'Shea D
3 C. Townsend D
14 J. Molumby M
8 J. Livermore M
17 J. Wallace M
19 J. Swift M
10 M. Phillips M
18 K. Ahearne-Grant F
Bench (7)
11 G. Diangana
12 D. Dike
27 A. Mowatt
20 A. Reach
29 T. Gardner-Hickman
5 K. Bartley
24 A. Palmer

Coach: S. Bruce

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,23
U ✓
3,35
B
3,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Harrington · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.