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Championship
Referee: K Stroud
Millwall
S U S S T
2–0
Full-time
Stoke
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Mar -22 Stoke – Millwall 2–0 23. Oct -21 Millwall – Stoke 2–1 5. Apr -21 Stoke – Millwall 1–2 12. Sep -20 Millwall – Stoke 0–0 11. Jan -20 Stoke – Millwall 0–0

Match report

Millwall Stoke
1–0 C. Cresswell ⚽
G. Honeyman
12′
Charlie Cresswell 🟨
39′
43′
🟨 Aden Flint
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 J. Brown
↦ D. Gayle
2–0 C. Cresswell ⚽
S. Malone
65′
66′
🔁 W. Smallbone
↦ S. Clucas
G. Saville 🔁
↦ J. Shackleton
76′
Z. Flemming 🔁
↦ G. Honeyman
76′
M. Bennett 🔁
↦ T. Bradshaw
76′
80′
🔁 G. Kilkenny
↦ B. Wilmot
83′
🟨 Gavin Kilkenny
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Millwall

3-4-2-1
33 B. Bialkowski G
15 C. Cresswell D
5 J. Cooper D
3 M. Wallace D
18 R. Leonard M
8 B. Mitchell M
16 J. Shackleton M
11 S. Malone M
39 G. Honeyman F
9 T. Bradshaw F
7 B. Afobe F
Bench (7)
23 G. Saville
10 Z. Flemming
20 M. Bennett
14 T. Burey
1 G. Long
2 D. McNamara
6 G. Evans

Coach: G. Rowett

Stoke

3-5-2
1 J. Bursik G
32 C. Taylor D
4 A. Flint D
16 B. Wilmot D
2 H. Clarke M
7 S. Clucas M
8 L. Baker M
28 J. Laurent M
14 J. Tymon M
11 D. Gayle F
10 T. Campbell F
Bench (7)
9 J. Brown
18 W. Smallbone
22 G. Kilkenny
15 J. Thompson
6 P. Jagielka
13 J. Bonham
39 T. Sparrow

Coach: M. O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,32
🔒
U
3,25
🔒
B
3,18
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,29
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,62
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.