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Serie B

Perugia

S T T U S

1–1

Full-time

Spal

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 31%

38%

24%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

31%

48%

Both score Ø 52%

48%

55%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

13 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

7 Corners 0

16 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Perugia 9. · Spal 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	30	14	13	3	+22	55
2	Pisa	29	15	10	4	+17	55
3	Monza	30	15	9	6	+20	54
4	Brescia	30	14	11	5	+15	53
5	Cremonese	29	15	8	6	+15	53
6	Benevento	29	14	9	6	+20	51
7	Frosinone	30	12	12	6	+14	48
8	Ascoli	29	13	7	9	+4	46
9	Perugia	29	11	12	6	+7	45
10	Cittadella	30	11	11	8	+4	44
11	Reggina	30	11	7	12	-9	40
12	Parma	30	8	14	8	+4	38
13	Ternana	30	10	8	12	-4	38
14	Como	30	8	14	8	-4	38
15	Spal	29	7	10	12	-9	31
16	Alessandria	30	6	7	17	-20	25
17	Cosenza	29	5	9	15	-20	24
18	Vicenza	30	5	6	19	-23	21
19	Crotone	30	3	10	17	-19	19
20	Pordenone	29	2	7	20	-34	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	15	10	3	2	+17	33
2	Lecce	15	9	5	1	+18	32
3	Pisa	15	8	6	1	+10	30
4	Cremonese	14	8	5	1	+11	29
5	Benevento	15	8	4	3	+15	28
6	Frosinone	15	7	6	2	+13	27
7	Reggina	15	7	2	6	-1	23
8	Cittadella	15	6	4	5	+5	22
9	Brescia	15	5	7	3	+4	22
10	Ternana	15	7	1	7	+2	22
11	Parma	15	4	7	4	+5	19
12	Como	15	4	7	4	+1	19
13	Perugia	14	4	6	4	+2	18
14	Cosenza	14	5	3	6	-2	18
15	Ascoli	14	4	5	5	-2	17
16	Crotone	15	3	7	5	-2	16
17	Alessandria	15	4	4	7	-8	16
18	Spal	15	3	6	6	+1	15
19	Vicenza	15	3	4	8	-6	13
20	Pordenone	15	1	5	9	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	15	9	4	2	+11	31
2	Ascoli	15	9	2	4	+6	29
3	Perugia	15	7	6	2	+5	27
4	Pisa	14	7	4	3	+7	25
5	Cremonese	15	7	3	5	+4	24
6	Benevento	14	6	5	3	+5	23
7	Lecce	15	5	8	2	+4	23
8	Cittadella	15	5	7	3	-1	22
9	Monza	15	5	6	4	+3	21
10	Frosinone	15	5	6	4	+1	21
11	Parma	15	4	7	4	-1	19
12	Como	15	4	7	4	-5	19
13	Reggina	15	4	5	6	-8	17
14	Ternana	15	3	7	5	-6	16
15	Spal	14	4	4	6	-10	16
16	Alessandria	15	2	3	10	-12	9
17	Vicenza	15	2	2	11	-17	8
18	Cosenza	15	0	6	9	-18	6
19	Pordenone	14	1	2	11	-20	5
20	Crotone	15	0	3	12	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.