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Serie B
Perugia
S U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Lecce
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Lecce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Serie B · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 45%
37%
52%
Points per game
1,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
33%
52%
Both score Ø 52%
48%
56%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 6
0 Corners 2
19 Free kicks against 26
6 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Perugia 10. · Lecce 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cremonese 28 15 8 5 +18 53
2 Lecce 27 14 10 3 +22 52
3 Pisa 28 14 10 4 +14 52
4 Brescia 28 14 9 5 +15 51
5 Monza 28 13 9 6 +13 48
6 Benevento 27 13 8 6 +18 47
7 Frosinone 27 11 11 5 +13 44
8 Cittadella 28 11 9 8 +4 42
9 Ascoli 27 12 6 9 +3 42
10 Perugia 27 10 11 6 +6 41
11 Reggina 28 11 6 11 -8 39
12 Como 28 8 12 8 -4 36
13 Parma 28 7 13 8 +3 34
14 Ternana 27 9 7 11 -4 34
15 Spal 28 7 10 11 -8 31
16 Alessandria 27 6 6 15 -14 24
17 Cosenza 27 5 8 14 -18 23
18 Vicenza 27 4 6 17 -20 18
19 Crotone 27 2 9 16 -19 15
20 Pordenone 28 2 6 20 -34 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Oct -21 Lecce – Perugia 0–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,87
U ✓
3,10
B
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.