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Serie B
Lecce
U S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Pisa
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 49%
49%
49%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
46%
31%
Both score Ø 52%
54%
49%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

21 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 2
25 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lecce 2. · Pisa 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cremonese 35 19 9 7 +20 66
2 Lecce 35 17 14 4 +26 65
3 Monza 35 18 10 7 +23 64
4 Benevento 35 18 9 8 +28 63
5 Pisa 35 17 12 6 +14 63
6 Brescia 35 16 14 5 +18 62
7 Ascoli 36 17 8 11 +6 59
8 Frosinone 35 14 13 8 +14 55
9 Perugia 35 12 16 7 +7 52
10 Cittadella 36 12 13 11 +2 49
11 Ternana 35 13 9 13 -2 48
12 Reggina 35 13 8 14 -12 47
13 Parma 35 10 15 10 +5 45
14 Como 35 10 14 11 -5 44
15 Spal 35 7 14 14 -12 35
16 Alessandria 35 8 8 19 -21 32
17 Cosenza 35 6 10 19 -26 28
18 Vicenza 35 6 7 22 -25 25
19 Crotone 35 3 13 19 -21 22
20 Pordenone 35 3 8 24 -39 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,84
U
3,33
B
4,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.