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Serie B

Lecce

S U U U U

1–0

Full-time

Frosinone

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Frosinone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 44%

45%

42%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

48%

Both score Ø 53%

58%

48%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 4

3 Shots on target 0

5 Corners 1

19 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecce 4. · Frosinone 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	31	17	8	6	+18	59
2	Pisa	31	16	10	5	+16	58
3	Monza	31	16	9	6	+21	57
4	Lecce	31	14	14	3	+22	56
5	Brescia	31	14	12	5	+15	54
6	Benevento	30	14	9	7	+18	51
7	Frosinone	31	13	12	6	+16	51
8	Ascoli	31	14	7	10	+4	49
9	Perugia	31	11	13	7	+6	46
10	Cittadella	31	11	11	9	+3	44
11	Reggina	31	12	7	12	-8	43
12	Ternana	31	11	8	12	-1	41
13	Como	31	9	14	8	-3	41
14	Parma	31	8	15	8	+4	39
15	Spal	31	7	11	13	-11	32
16	Alessandria	31	6	7	18	-23	25
17	Vicenza	31	6	6	19	-21	24
18	Cosenza	30	5	9	16	-21	24
19	Crotone	31	3	10	18	-20	19
20	Pordenone	31	2	8	21	-35	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	16	11	3	2	+18	36
2	Pisa	16	9	6	1	+11	33
3	Lecce	15	9	5	1	+18	32
4	Cremonese	15	9	5	1	+12	32
5	Frosinone	16	8	6	2	+15	30
6	Benevento	15	8	4	3	+15	28
7	Reggina	16	8	2	6	+0	26
8	Ternana	16	8	1	7	+5	25
9	Cittadella	15	6	4	5	+5	22
10	Brescia	15	5	7	3	+4	22
11	Parma	16	4	8	4	+5	20
12	Ascoli	15	5	5	5	+0	20
13	Como	15	4	7	4	+1	19
14	Perugia	16	4	7	5	+1	19
15	Cosenza	14	5	3	6	-2	18
16	Crotone	15	3	7	5	-2	16
17	Vicenza	16	4	4	8	-4	16
18	Alessandria	15	4	4	7	-8	16
19	Spal	16	3	6	7	-1	15
20	Pordenone	16	1	6	9	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	16	9	5	2	+11	32
2	Ascoli	16	9	2	5	+4	29
3	Cremonese	16	8	3	5	+6	27
4	Perugia	15	7	6	2	+5	27
5	Pisa	15	7	4	4	+5	25
6	Lecce	16	5	9	2	+4	24
7	Benevento	15	6	5	4	+3	23
8	Cittadella	16	5	7	4	-2	22
9	Como	16	5	7	4	-4	22
10	Monza	15	5	6	4	+3	21
11	Frosinone	15	5	6	4	+1	21
12	Parma	15	4	7	4	-1	19
13	Reggina	15	4	5	6	-8	17
14	Spal	15	4	5	6	-10	17
15	Ternana	15	3	7	5	-6	16
16	Alessandria	16	2	3	11	-15	9
17	Vicenza	15	2	2	11	-17	8
18	Cosenza	16	0	6	10	-19	6
19	Pordenone	15	1	2	12	-21	5
20	Crotone	16	0	3	13	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.